We had a decent start yesterday, going 3-1 on the game predictions and the Diamondbacks came through fairly well offensively.
WEATHER
After being warmer yesterday in Minnesota, it’s down into the mid 60’s today and another mid-afternoon start time so I expect the ball to be a little dead there.
On the slip side, warmer up in Philly.
I do appreciate that DraftKings has made the pricing a little more flat here which does’t auto-force everyone into a single play or two.
- Nathan Eovaldi (DK: $7800, FD: $8400) … The only question is how long does Eovaldi go. He hasn’t thrown over 86 pitches in September and the Rangers could be short on the leash here if they have a nice lead.
- Zac Gallen (DK: $9200, FD: $10,200) … I see Freddy Peralta coming out hot for Milwaukee with a fast start and then Arizona gets to him mid game. Gallen is more likely to get into a rhythm mid game and with Arizona in a series winning spot and having their ace on the mound they should let him go as long as humanly possible tonight.
- Zach Eflin (DK: $8800, FD: $9100) … Fine as a game stack option with Eovaldi, but the Texas lineup is definitely a dangerous one.
DECENT BUT NOT PERFECT
- Aaron Nola (DK: $8000, FD: $8700) … Nola might give up 2 HR tonight (Soler is one, Sanchez another), but he also should get through 7 innings, have 6-7 strikeouts and is likely going to win. If you want to fade one of these two, it should be Nola, not Eovaldi, and it should be with a mini Marlins stack.
I don’t see a TON of stack offense type spots tonight, which opens the door for us to get a little contrarian seeking some one off homers if we can get lucky there.
I didn’t write up either Berrios or Gray in the TOR/MIN game, but I don’t anticipate a TON of offense output there. It’s just that neither pitcher is going to give you the full line score to warrant using.
Texas/Tampa is a game I expect to be relatively tame as well.
Arizona/Milwaukee won’t be quite what it was last night, but the Diamondbacks lineup is so potent and fits that park so well that we have to consider them as a stack.
This leads us all down to the Marlins/Phillies.
- Marlins/Phillies (Soler, De La Cruz … Castellanos, Turner, Realmuto)
- Diamondbacks (Pham, Marte, Longoria)
CATCHER
- J.T. Realmuto
- Mitch Garver
FIRST BASE
Not much I like here from the trio of Vladdy/Walker/Lowe, and Harper for $5800 is certainly viable if you want to just plug it in, but I am not.
- Josh Bell
- Cavan Biggio
SECOND BASE
- Ketel Marte
- Luis Arraez
- Bryson Stott
THIRD BASE
- Evan Longoria … After last night’s web-gem he will deliver the crushing HR blow tonight.
- Jake Burger
- Jorge Polanco
SHORTSTOP
- Trea Turner
- PUNT
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Jorge Soler
- Sir Thomas Pham
- Nick Castellanos
- Max Kepler
OF ALSO CONSIDER:
Bryan De La Cruz, Johan Rojas (value), George Springer, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
- Jorge Soler – OF – Miami Marlins – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Mitch Garver – C – Rangers
- Max Kepler – OF – Twins
- Bryan De La Cruz – OF – Marlins
- Nick Castellanos – OF – Phillies
- Trea Turner – SS – Phillies
BETS
Rangers ML
Twins/Blue Jays UNDER 8
Diamondbacks ML
Marlins/Phillies OVER 8.5