Every week I write down my plays, then I go look at what the model says, and every week we argue like an old married couple. This week? We agree. On a lot. Which either means I finally built the thing right or we’re both about to be wrong together. ITS NOT ROCKET SCIENCE…...
We played Eagles at Jaguars 10,000 times before kickoff: Jacksonville wins 78% of them, Bhayshul Tuten leads the TD list, and the spread is a coin flip.
Seven games under the lights and the whole night comes down to one call. USC at Penn State is the highest total on the slate at 54.5, it’s a near pick-em, and the most owned guy in the entire game is sitting at 17.1%. That’s the sneaky game. That’s where the field won’t be. Outside…...
10-game slate on DraftKings tonight. Colorado is on a 3-in-4, and Columbus, Pittsburgh, Detroit and Anaheim are all on the second night of a back-to-back. COLORADO AVALANCHE Nathan MacKinnon – Nazem Kadri – Artturi Lehkonen / Cale Makar ANAHEIM DUCKS Leo Carlsson – Beckett Sennecke – Sam Colangelo / Jackson LaCombe …...
Oregon is going to boatrace the fuck out of UCLA. I’ll say it again for the people in the back: Oregon drops a 50 burger today. They’re coming off the bye, Dante Moore is out with the concussion, and the guy stepping in is 30 of 36 for 413 yards and 5 TDs with no…...
I have reviewed the file. The AMBUSH, Week 4. Twelve games. One centerpiece. Five bets, two stacks, a touchdown parlay. The contest export is in. I know what the field actually rostered. The finding. Mr. Renner named Broncos at 49ers the game of the week and built the card through it. It finished 24-14. Thirty-eight […]
10-game slate on DraftKings tonight, and my top game is Nashville at Montreal. It has a 6.5 total, the Canadiens have allowed 4.67 goals a game, and almost nobody is on it: every Predator and Canadien I like is projected at 5% owned or less. Colorado is on the second night of a back-to-back in…...
Thursday night football in the Sun Belt and CUSA. Four games, two of them with totals north of 56, and two defenses in the main event that have been rebuilt through the portal and still can’t get off the field. This is a short slate, so the ownership is going to pile up in a…...
We played Buccaneers at Cowboys 10,000 times before kickoff: Dallas wins three in four, and the touchdown sims say the pricey Dallas receivers score less than their prices ask.
One thumb moved this spread five points and the total five more, but Dallas still can’t stop a pass, and the field is stacking Dak Prescott without the receiver he throws to.
