The Dongers Club – June 3rd

On the Dashboard/Lineups page this 4PM slate is considered ‘Afternoon’ and the evening 5 game slate is considered the ‘Main’ slate. I will not have an article for the second late slate tonight, so some thoughts overall for it will be at the bottom of this article.  All total we have 8 games in this 4PM window and 5 late.   WEATHER STL at PIT … Chance of storms right around first pitch, game will play though, so worst case there is a slight delay before they begin. PHI at WSH … Hot, Hot, Hot. MIL at CIN … Hot, Hot, Hot.   TOP ARMS Eury Perez (DK: 8700) The young kid gets a nice comfortable home game with Oakland on tap.   His stuff is too good to worry about a limited ceiling on pitches thrown today.   SP2 CHOICES Cristian Javier (DK: $10.6k) Javier should be the top overall scoring SP, but his price ranks him as #1 compared to Perez who I think is very safe to use.  Overall that’s our DK combination.   Jose Berrios (DK: $9400) One spot where it is not excessively hot today is New York and the wind is also going to be blowing in, so the combination of a big park, an old lineup, mediocre weather and throw out that Berrios should get some early inning runs to give him the lead puts him in a great spot today.  His recent form is good despite 5 walks vs his former team last start out, so I expect that to come back to better form today and 6+ IP with 1K per inning is our goal.     BREWERS Yelich, Tellez, Contreras, Anderson, Taylor, Bernie the Brewer They’re all going yard.  The Graham Ashcraft experience is long and dead and if he breaks up the Milwaukee lock of the weekend stack then tip of the cap to the crafty Ass-man. MARINERS France, Kelenic, Hernandez, Suarez This is one of those 3-true outcome spots where you’ll get a strikeout, a walk or a homer off Andrew Heaney.  Kelenic is a very contrarian spot here and should do damage off the Rangers bullpen if given a good opportunity with men on base.   CATCHER William Contreras Tyler Stephenson Mitch Garver   FIRST BASE This is a very simple position today, I wouldn’t touch anyone not out of these three as there are a lot of […]

The Dongers Club – June 2nd

A nearly full Friday night slate with no Wrigley afternoon game unfortunately and two turbo slate 5pm/6pm window games as we lose the Athletics and Marlins (bummer man!) and the Brewers and Reds — which feels like a series that has a million runs in a warm Cincinnati weekend. All in all we have summer like conditions today with a ton of big name pitchers going as well tonight.  We also have ‘remember me”s’ going on this weekend with the new series. Moose Tacos back in Kansas City (hey, how about that….) Jesse Winker back in Cincinnati (hey, how about that….) Schwarber, Harper and Turner back in Washington (hey, how about that…..)   WEATHER Hot with storms and rain in a few spots. Tampa Bay at Boston – This one does not look good.  High PPD risk. Cleveland at Minnesota – Storms before and early in the game, they should be able to play. Roof open in Arizona   As mentioned above a lot of big name pitchers going such as Ohtani, Kershaw, Framber, Wheeler, Webb, Verlander, Glasnow, Castillo (!!!), Severino, two of the Grays (Jon and Josiah) as well as Michael Wacha, Bailey Ober, Aaron Civale and Dean Kremer, which is honestly the closest grouping to some 50’s all male band we have going today.  Oh yeah, Chase Anderson is going tonight as well, fun times. However, a lot of the ‘Good’ pitchers are facing good teams or in weather spots which are really good for hitting, and conversely the bad pitchers are facing some bad teams.  Like Jordan Lyles vs Colorado.   TOP ARMS Shohei Ohtani (DK: 10.7k, 10.8k) He has had some huge games against Houston in his career, which stands out given the fact that most pitchers do not have success vs the Astros.  The home/road splits are still a negative for Ohtani, his production away from Anaheim just isn’t the same, but the Astros aren’t what I would consider a hot offense at the moment with Tucker struggling and Altuve/Abreu/Bregman/Pena not hitting RHP much if at all.   SP2 CHOICES Zack Wheeler (DK: $9200, FD: $10900) Look for back to back solid A+ starts from Wheeler, he can be streaky and the Nationals are returning from a west coast trip tonight, are probably a little groggy and should whiff more than they normally do. Mike Clevinger (DK: $6600) I can see Clevinger doing well vs Detroit […]

The Dongers Club – June 1st

Welcome to June, Kyle Schwarber’s favorite month for some reason or another.  Schwarber has hit 47 home runs in the month of June in 132 career games.  Not too bad, and one of the reasons I think he has been due for a breakout here soon, but the other is just the entire Phillies lineup construct and getting their cycles coordinated between Turner-Schwarber-Harper-Castellanos and Realmuto.  Once they do, look out. What does this have to do with today’s slate?  Absolutely nothing.  Well, they are on the slate vs Max Scherzer in a day game…. Anyways, seven total games today, 4 are early, 3 are late.  I’ll cover it all   WEATHER Three domes on the early slate and the Citi Field game between Phillies/Mets which will be played in 80 degree temps and probably good for home runs and all. No weather issues for the 3 night gamges today which are: Reds/Red Sox Guardians/Twins Angels/Astros   TOP ARMS Jesus Luzardo and Joe Musgrove I like Kevin Gausman’s strikeout upside vs Milwaukee (who doesn’t?), but my big call today is that Luzardo finishes as the top K pitcher on the slate.  I would jump on his strikeout props and maybe even ladder it up today and if we get lucky with a South Beach afternoon lineup from the Padres then this could have 8 inning, 1 hit performance all over it. With Musgrove being 7300 I suspect he is no doubt 40% or higher owned on DraftKings, and quite possibly #1 on FanDuel as well.  Fade on FD, but take the SP double barrel on a short slate.   NIGHT SLATE ARMS Chris Sale Hunter Greene Framber Valdez   CITI FIELD If you read what I randomly wrote above then you see where I am going here.  It’s Philly vs Max, good weather, wind blowing out, cycles syncing up.  Make us proud today Phillies, make us proud. The Mets are the lede being buried here though, they’ll get to face Taijuan Walker, their former pal and boy has he been bad in Philly — especially here in a divisional game vs a team who should be patient at the plate drawing walks and have lots of RISP opportunities.  Mets bats are cheap too. KEY PHILLIES … Schwarber, Harper, Marsh, Turner KEY METS … McNeil, Nimmo, Baty, Alonso   Next Best Team:  Colorado   NIGHT SLATE STACKS Guardians (Ramirez, Bell) Twins (Gallo, […]

The Dongers Club – May 31st

It feels like 2019 because Dinelson Lamet and Julio Teheran are pitching tonight.  I shit you not people… The Padres and Marlins game is on FanDuel only, not on DraftKings slate and it is Snell versus Garrett and it should be a snoozefest. WEATHER No issues tonight, 4 of the 6 games are in Domes.   TOP ARM Hunter Brown (DK: $10k, FD: $10.5k) Brown is the only arm tonight who could come out and just dominate the slate.  He got 14 Swinging Strikes vs Minnesota in their first meeting and has been consistent all season long in his rookie year.  We do still have some power here on the Twins side but not enough for me to be too concerned.   SP2 OPTIONS Aaron Nola (DK: $9100, FD: $9100) Looking for a good SP vs an offense which has cooled off?  It’s Nola folks.  Don’t give me this crap about Nola on the road, he’s got a fantastic park shift here going into Citi Field and will get plenty of run support tonight.   BEST VALUE ARMS Clarke Schmidt, Alek Manoah, Julio Teheran You know the risk with Manoah and Teheran, which also is why Clarke could wind up being a little popular as a cheap option and thus to me he is your fade.  Anytime you can get contrarian with a guy struggling but has talent you take it, and that … is … well, no, we’re not going Manoah – pay up for pitching folks.     OTHER SP NOTES I’m the only person who thinks Alek Manoah is going to still be fine, but that’s still not a good enough feeling to roster him against the Brewers today for me. Don’t fall into the James Paxton trap, anyone who tries to claim he is “back” clearly just turned on MLB for the first time because this has the makings of Paxton leaving in the 2nd inning with 4 ER allowed and some bullshit injury.   REDS / RED SOX Cincy:   India, McCLain, Steer, Senzel Boston:   Verdugo, Devers A million runs in this game tonight.  Warm weather in Fenway with two straight garbage pitchers.  I’ll build everything around this game and expect it to be the obvious chalky spot tonight as well, so be prepared for that.   Also Like: Philadelphia – Harper, Schwarber, Realmuto Arizona – Carroll, Walker Milwaukee – Tellez, Yelich   CATCHER JT Realmuto […]

The Dongers Club – May 31st – Early

Big early slate for late May, which is awesome for this time of year to have this. WEATHER Scattered rain/t-storms in Chicago games, but both should play.   TOP ARM Mitch Keller (DK: $10.8k, FD: $11.2k) The time of the game in this series has been everything.  Monday was a mid/late afternoon start and Tuesday was a night game and that’s why the scoring was the way that it was.  So with another day game here, I am obviously facing a little risk but Keller’s been this years Dylan Cease in terms of his breakout performance & I have no qualms about getting more juice out of him while we can.   SP2 OPTIONS Alex Wood (DK: $6800) Not a terrible game stack spot to just lock in on both these guys, take a 40+ combined if we get it right and move on. Dane Dunning (DK: $7500, FD: $8400) If you have ever clicked on someone and just said over and over, my lord this does not feel right – then I have your guy right here.  I refuse to believe Dunning will be this good all season, but the same can be said for the Tigers offense.   OTHER SP NOTES Today is Shane Bieber’s birthday.  How about that!  Happy Birthday Shane, here’s a boring 3 strikeout performance.   RAYS / CUBS Cubbies — Swanson, Happ Rays — Arozarena, Franco Steele is NOT the perfect get right SP for the Rays to face, but I am on the lean that we’re going to see another rough outing from him today.  He was unable to get whiffs in his last start and the Rays are another team that should be aggressive in the zone.  Unfortunately, with a lefty starting this means we probably see 9 righties and then maybe some PH in the game to kill your stack on that side. Meanwhile the Cubs are going to hit 2+ HR off Zach Eflin, so yeah, that’s the team we’re riding first and foremost here. DODGERS JD Martinez, Chris Taylor, Mookie Betts They should and they will end Corbin’s little pitching well streak.  Taylor is the key cheap bat to plug in here to make this fit nice and comfortably. BRAVES / ATHLETICS OAK:  Laureano, Rooker ATL:  Acuna, Olson, Murphy, Riley Do we dare bet the sweep for the Athletics?  You’re damn right we do.  But Atlanta isn’t going down […]

PGA DFS: Memorial

Broken down by pricing tiers, Mark Farris outlines his favorite PGA DFS plays on DraftKings

The Dongers Club – May 30th

Almost the perfect sized slate tonight but we are still amiss two games on the Turbo slate, so no ability to use Padres, Marlins, Rangers or Tigers, I know you are all very sad that we miss the Martin Perez vs Alex Faedo game in 88 degree Detroit, Michigan. WEATHER No issues tonight   There aren’t many high priced pitchers with just four over 10k on DraftKings and when you combine that with how many ‘Star’ hitters I think are in great spots vs the SP today you should find yourself pairing two mid-range pitchers on DraftKings and go from there. I will say among the top $ guys (McClanahan, Gallen, Ryan, Gilbert), that Zac Gallen is no doubt the best of the bunch and should have a strong rebound game at home vs Colorado.   TOP ARM Brayan Bello (DK: $7100, FD: $7000) It’s kinda rare that there is a team who can go into Fenway Park one time a year and not consider it a good park shift for the road team,  but such is the case for Cincinnati who has the best jet stream to right field and now has a bad spot for hitting it out to right field. That’s one boost for Bello, the other positive is how well he is pitching overall and his 0 walk performance in Anaheim was huge for him as he went 7 innings on just 98 pitches.  That confidence and a pretty soft Reds lineup outside of Nick Senzel and …. well, Nick Senzel, is enough to just take what should be everyones favorite “SP2” and use him as our SP1 tonight.   SP2 OPTIONS Tony Gonsolin (DK: $8000, FD: $9400) Washington is pesky, not vs a guy like Gonsolin though.  Still a big time discount on his price and while I know we dont like no strikeout guys vs Washington I cannot see him hurting you on a slate where that’s the main focus with pitching. Yusei Kikuchi (DK: $8400, FD: $8500) Ah, my friend Kikuchi.  Yusei the Brewers have some power and I say, yeah but they strike out a TOOOON.  Kikuchi has been back to being horrible of late, so this either goes with him posting that 24 point performance I anticipate or he gives up 4 homers in the first inning and finishes with like -13 before going to the bullpen in a week. Johan […]

Dongers Club – 5/29 (Late)

Four game Monday Night Slate notes.   WEATHER No issues, all games will play.   TOP ARM Bryce Miller Miller gets the Yanks in Seattle – like Atlanta (below) they had a long west coast trip and in the case of the Yanks will offer a good amount of strikeout upside for their opponent in Mr. Miller today.  He’s the right Miller for my money.   SP2 OPTIONS Michael Soroka & Paul Blackburn Soroka makes his return back to the majors after a long road of injury problems and what a major gift for him getting puny little Oakland tonight.  I’m actually not expecting the Braves offense to give him a ton of run support and wouldn’t be shocked if Paul Blackburn (also making his 2023 debut) pitched well for Oakland against the Braves after their home Sunday night game and then a long trip out west.   Dodgers White Sox   CATCHER Will Smith Yasmani Grandal   FIRST BASE Ty France Jared Walsh   SECOND BASE Mookie Betts Luis Garcia   THIRD BASE Yoan Moncada   SHORTSTOP CJ Abrams Tim Anderson   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Shohei Ohtani Teoscar Hernandez Jared Kelenic Eloy Jimenez   Shohei Ohtani – OF – Angels – Chairman of The Dongers Club