Syracuse at N.C. State

Neither team really rebounds very well and that should present an interesting battle with lots of long rebounds in this game.  NC State can exploit Syracuse with Jericole Hellems and Terquavion Smith so long as Dereon Seabron isnt out here trying to make up for his worst game of the season.  For the Orange, Jesse Edwards really pops off with a good DvP match-up against an undersized Wolfpack team but this is the type of game Joseph Girard has to show up in as well.  We can get four guys from this game by ignoring Buddy B and Seabron.

• Syracuse – Edwards, Girard
• NC State – Hellems, Smith

Notre Dame at Miami

The Irish were horrific on Monday and I am being generous.  Hopefully they can bounce back against Miami who has less length than Duke and defends not as well, but really it came down to Notre Dame just missing shots all over the place and playing bad basketball on offense.  They’re better then that and with a pace up game against the DFS friendly Hurricanes we should be looking for better results here today.

• Irish – Wesley
• Hurricanes – Miller, Wong

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Blake Wesley – Notre Dame, $7,400

After a rough game like the rest of the team on Monday night, Wesley has to turn things around quickly and I can’t see the Irish having another horrific game tonight, so lock him in as a no doubt about it 30 spot.

AuDiese Toney – Arkansas, $5,800

This is the fastest game on the slate and while Toney isn’t a high usage play on the Razorbacks he does have a 21% rebounding rate which should favor his production well in a game that the Bulldogs will try to keep up with the Razorbacks in a high possession game.

Sahvir Wheeler – Kentucky, $6,500

Wheeler should get to his floor off assists alone tonight and if CBB prop bets were a bigger thing that would be the top prop play tonight.  Vanderbilt is an open bucket against most teams and the Wildcats should have a good shooting night today.  Wheeler’s recent stretch of home games has resulted in 6, 8, 7, 9, 8, 8, 6, 14, 7 assists.  And all total on the season he averages 11 more fppg at home.

Collin Gillespie – Villanova – $7,500

You need a solid PG vs Marquette and Gillespie seems to always do well against them.  He’ll be on the floor 35+ minutes and should have an increased shooting rate tonight as well.   The ceiling isn’t quite at the level of other guys but if you want a safe 30, he is your guy.

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Overall I would avoid going above 8k on any player tonight unless it’s in a game stack as it is a deep slate and having a balanced lineup ultimately is going to do you the best.  Here are the other top graded plays on this slate.

High End $$$

• Terquavion Smith – NC State
• Jericole Hellems – NC State
• Paul Atkinson – Notre Dame
• Justyn Mutts – Virginia Tech

Mid Range $$

• Keve Aluma – Virginia Tech
• Eric Curry – Minnesota
• Aaron Cook – Georgia
• Braelen Bridges – Georgia
• Bo Hodges – Butler

Value $

• Kellan Grady – Kentucky
• Isaac Likele – OK St
• Caleb Daniels – Villanova
• Nate Johnson – Xavier
• Trey Wade – Arkansas

Isaiah Wong – Miami – $7,400

The price on Wong has come down to where he can be utilized as our primary focus from the Hurricanes.  He just hasn’t shot well the last two games (6 for 20) and with a good pace scenario tonight he should accumulate a boost in rebounds, steals and assists.  From all the options on the Hurricanes he is my favorite to fly under the radar and get back to a 30+ point scenario, hoping for a 5x return.

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CORE BUILD

Wesley, Toney, Wheeler

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TOP BETS

Villanova -4.5

Wisconsin +7

NC State -2

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