Hopefully there are no PPD tonight due to COVID, as things seem to be clearing up a little bit. I am focused on DraftKings tonight although FanDuel does have a large set of games on their slate as well.
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Syracuse vs Miami (FL)
There’s a lot to like from a DFS perspective on this game and thus it’s one that I feel you can get 4 players from, minimum of 3.
Neither team runs a deep bench, both teams play at a moderate pace and neither team has been stout defensively. The Hurricanes have the guards with experience to exploit Syracuse’s zone and Syracuse should dominate on the glass in this game.
Syracuse Center Jesse Edwards doesn’t contribute a ton on the offensive end but should have a good rebounding game against Miami’s interior. He leads the Orange in overall rebounding and I would expect him to clean up a few offensive put backs tonight.
- G – Charlie Moore – MIA – 6200
- G – Jordan Miller – MIA – 5700
- G – Buddy Boeheim – SYR – 8100
- F – Jesse Edwards – SYR – 6400
- F – Cole Swider – SYR – 6500
Tulane vs East Carolina
This is the 5th highest total on the board but like the game above it features two below average defenses and some guards who should tear each other up. I would look to maximize at 2-3 players from this game but there’s a good amount to look at.
Top Plays:
- G – Jalen Cook – Tul – 7400
- G – Tristen Newton – ECU – 7500
Secondary / Full Stack Options:
- G/F – Jaylen Forbes – Tul – 6000
- G – Sion James – Tul – 5000
- F – Vance Jackson – ECU – 7000
DePaul vs St. Johns
Javon Freeman-Liberty, Julian Champagnie and Posh Alexander are all options as one offs. This should have a very fast pace to it and from a floor perspective all three studs will contribute nice floor plays. None of them are priced where you will win a tournament with them but I can see JFL being someone to include in your CORE builds today. I have him graded as the top CASH game play on the slate.
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High End – $7,000 and up
G – Jalen Cook – Tulane – 7400
Cook leads the Green Wave in Usage and Shot rate and this is a game I expect a good amount of offense in between Tulane and East Carolina. Between him and Jaylen Forbes you will need one if not two Green Wave plays today.
Next best:
G – Javon-Freeman-Liberty – DePaul – Best floor play on this slate.
G – Tristen Newton – ECU … Play Newton with Jalen Cook only.
G – Posh Alexander – SJU
G – Darius Perry – UCF … Contrarian lower owned play tonight. Really struggled vs Temple due to fouls last meeting.
G – Isaiah Wong – Miami
F – Malik Williams – Louisville … Forward is thin today, but lots of G/F options are solid. Williams is the one true forward option on this slate to consider paying up for.
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Mid Range – $5,500 to $6,900
G/F – Jordan Miller – Miami – 5700
I have known Jordan since he was back in the 5th grade tearing up house league basketball and watched him grow up to be a HS state Champion before landing at George Mason. He transferred to Miami this season and is starting to come into his own with 25 PPG in over his last three. He isn’t a big 3pt shooter but should be able to use his athleticism to carve up the Syracuse zone along the baseline enough to warrant using him at this very reasonable price.
Next best:
G – Charlie Moore – Miami
G/F – Jaden Schakelford – Bama
G/F – Josiah-Jordan James – Tennessee
F – Jesse Edwards – Syracuse
F – Cole Swider – Syracuse
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Value – Below $5,500
F – Anthony Duruji – Florida – 4800
Wings and Bigs usually excel the most when getting the pace up boost against the stout Alabama defense. However I am not paying for Colin Castleton at 9500 on such a large slate, so consider Duruji someone that should do well for his price.
Next best:
G/F Taze Moore – Houston
G/F – Montez Mathis – SJU
F – Eric Dixon – Nova
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Darius Perry – UCF – 7100
When UCF and Temple met back in mid December Perry was one of two UCF starters who was hampered with foul problems the entire game and he wound up only playing 12 minutes. Back at home tonight the PG should be on the floor more and probably gets overlooked with a bevy of other guard options on this slate, but he has potential to put up a 30+ performance tonight at low ownership.
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TOP BETS
Miami -2
Tulane / ECU OVER 139.5
OTHER GAME THOUGHTS
Things to monitor for in game betting …
- I expect a statement game tonight from Florida and if they come out early that -1.5 line will be higher and higher as the game moves along. You can definitely get Florida -1.5 before the game and then if I am right look for Bama as much as +7 in game.
- Pitt +12 is tempting
- Sticking with dogs in the Big 10, Nebraska is coming off a dog upset and getting 15 at Sparty. Thats a lot for a conference game. Gimme Nebraska.
- Villanova is about to hit their stride, lay the 11
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