[spacer height=”20px”]
Arkansas at LSU (-6.5)
The Tigers have been reshaped this year and are playing very good basketball but are going to be without Xavier Pinson today which is going to really make it hard to not consider their other options against the fast paced Razorbacks.
Arkansas
- F – Jaylin Williams – 6000
- G – Davonte Davis – 4100 … Plays 70% of minutes and has 30+ in three of last four.
LSU
- G – Eric Gaines – 5300
- F – Tari Eason – 8300
[spacer height=”20px”]
Florida State at Syracuse (-2.5)
It seems like forever since the Orange were at home and this is our 3PM hammer game today. As always, we want 3PT shooters and interior bigs who can score against the 2-3 zone. That would lead us to Anthony Polite and Malik Osborne for the Seminoles, both of whom are sub 7k. Syracuse has the 203rd ranked defense in the nation so as long as we get enough minutes (stupid FSU) we should get 4x return from those two.
Florida State
- G – Anthony Polite – 6600
- F – Malik Osborne – 6900
Syracuse
- G – Buddy Boeheim – 7800
- F – Cole Swider – 6400 or G – Joseph Girard – 6500
[spacer height=”20px”]
Seton Hall (-1.5) at Marquette
The Pirates of Seton Hall are the better team and should be laying more than 1.5 on the road. Which tells me we could see this game live up to the high total today if Marquette has their A game on, which they usually do have at home. I would lean on the value spots in this game more than the stars (Rhoden & Lewis), as they are both a little more priced up than what I would want in this game.
Seton Hall
- G – Kadaray Richmond – 5700
Marquette
- F – Olivier-Maxence Prosper – 3900
[spacer height=”20px”]
Buddy Boehim – Syracuse
Back at home where he averages 35 fantasy points per game. I believe he will have to carry the ‘cuse offense today for them to defeat Florida State.
Malik Osborne – Florida State
Florida State is my gotta have them team today. Meaning you gotta have someone from this roster and the interior ability of Osborne is where I would lean for the most reliable production.
Eric Gaines – G – LSU
I cannot see a path where Gaines isn’t in the 20’s and potentially 30’s vs a great tempo opponent. He will be called upon to score and have the ball in his hands more today.
[spacer height=”20px”]
The Rest of the Player Pool
$$$ HIGH END
Tari Eason & Darius Days – LSU
The 3-ball upside that Days brings is very tempting between these two, but in a great tempo game someone who gets blocks and steals like Eason is typically more valuable. Both should do you well, I am leaning Eason personally.
Christian Braun – Kansas
Taz Sherman – WVU
Right before you turn on the Raiders/Bengals game today, turn on this WVU/Kansas game and see how its going early. Kansas is prime to have their best game of the season if WVU doesn’t show up, but WVU can be a very difficult out and Sherman is the Mountaineers only hope. He’s gotta be good for them to have a chance to cover let alone win.
[spacer height=”20px”]
$$ MID RANGE
Kadary Richmond – Seton Hall
Marquette is a good team defending the 3-ball, but that is not Kadary’s game. He offers a fairly good floor and has 25% usage over the last month.
Cole Swider – Syracuse
One of the Syracuse Forwards has to have a big game today and like Boeheim his splits at home are good.
Myreon Jones – Florida
A high ranked Onions play today, he’s got a good pace boost match-up vs the Gamecocks, is a fairly decent value at $5800, will play 30+ minutes and offers a good floor with his high 3P attempts. Not a slate breaker, but a good steady cash game level play.
Jalen Wilson – Kansas
WVU is good rebounding matchup, Wilson leads the Jayhawks (26% def reb) on the glass.
[spacer height=”20px”]
$ VALUE RANGE
AJ Griffin – Duke
Griffin doesn’t really do anything exceptionally well, but he has hit 4x or more in three of his last four as the minutes have gone up. This is mostly just about opportunity and value against a bad defense. He is scoring dependent in my mind but should be able to contribute enough to be a good fill in play.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Marquette
Our value flop from Tuesday night thanks to foul trouble should once again be a chalky play today. His price remains low thanks to the dud score on Tuesday but the upside and minutes should be there this afternoon.
[spacer height=”20px”]
Paolo Banchero – Duke – F – 9700
NC State has one of the bottom defenses on this slate, Banchero has 26% usage over his last three games which is slightly up for his season average so I see him trending in the direction of putting up a 40 burger today. His price point makes him a likely low owned pick today. I prefer Banchero over Oscar Tshiebwe for Kentucky who is projecting at higher ownership.
Other contrarian stars:
G – Boo Buie – Northwestern – 7500
F – Justin Lewis – Marquette – 9200
[spacer height=”20px”]
TOP BETS
Kentucky -4.5
Arkansas/LSU OVER 146
WVU/Kansas OVER 143
Florida / South Carolina UNDER 142.5
[spacer height=”20px”]