The Dongers Club – June 10th

The DK main slate is locking at 1PM and runs through the 4PM window of games, which totals 11 games but does not include the 6PM Houston vs Cleveland game. FD main slate includes 4PM through 10PM, which is 7 games total.  FanDuel early is the 1PM window of games. This will be the only article and it will cover the DraftKings slate.   WEATHER Padres at Rockies – Coors Field:  Some showers coming through here during the gametime window.  Could cause a delay or two, but the game will finish barring a water mane break or something like that. Dodgers at Phillies – CBP:  Ball should jump here today. Royals at Orioles – OPACY:  Same here. Rangers at Rays – COSTCO:  Free snacks today down at the Tropicana Costco Warehouse.   TOP ARM(s) Sandy Alcantara (DK: $9500) I still believe in Sandy who appears to be pitching poorly (because he kinda is) but still has very good stuff and is still an Ace.  The walks have gone up somewhat, but last start it was back to normal and just had some struggles with a lowly Athletics team.  I don’t see him struggling again with this White Sox lineup.   SP2 CANDIDATES Johan Oviedo (DK: $7500) Mets are without Pete Alonso (obviously) and just not great offensively of late versus RHP hitting .238 with a 30% strikeout rate over the last week.  Lots of risk here certainly with Oviedo, but it’s a dicey slate overall for pitching, so trying to find someone under 8k for my SP2. RYNE NELSON (DK: $5400) Best among the cheap options.  I would suspect we see ownership going to Andrew Abbott in his second start, but I would rather pick on Detroit than even the lowly Cardinals.   OTHER PITCHING NOTES MacKenzie Gore and Michael Kopech have the best strikeout upside among the other pitchers going today not named Nate Eovaldi (expensive vs a good Rays team).   ORIOLES Rutschman, Santander, Urias Anthony Santander should break out of his slump in a big way vs Singer. DIAMONDBACKS Walker, Longoria, Marte Zona is great vs LHP and The Tigers bullpen has come crashing down to earth. DODGERS Mookie, Freeman, Outman Hey Look!  Freddie Freeman is up to $6,000 as he continues his NL player of the week campaign.  Dodgers should make life miserable for Nola today.   CATCHER Adley RUtschman Francisco Alvarez Sean Murphy   FIRST […]

The Dongers Club – June 9th

You know, if we cannot have a Cubs game on a Friday afternoon the least we could have is a full 15 game slate and we are pretty close but will have to do without Rangers/Rays and Diamondbacks/Tigers.  You laugh, but there are three playoff teams in there and then the Tigers, who are quickly fading away into the sunset.   WEATHER No PPD risk tonight. Baltimore, Philadelphia and NYY will have rain late in the night but the games should be clear to finish up without concern. Wind blowing out to LF in Atlanta.   TOP ARM(s) SHOHEI OHTANI (DK: $10.4k, FD: $10,000) Lock on Ohtani for your Friday big slate chalk on FanDuel, and if he is below 40% then folks did it wrong.  Ohtani at home is the good Ohtani, Ohtani below 11k is win the slate Ohtani and a high Swinging Strike rate team like Seattle?  No debate here, Ohtani on both sites is SP1. GERRIT COLE (DK: $11k, FD: $10.5k) The Boston Red Sox are on a train straight for DFL in the AL East and by a lot of games.  They started of 2023 competing but the combination of injuries and realizing that they roll out a bunch of bad hitters is quickly adding up.  Expect Cole to have a dominant outing tonight, is it enough to push him above Ohtani though?  No.  But rolling both together on DraftKings will put you above the place line with 1 or 2 HR and not much else today.   SP2 CANDIDATES MARCUS STROMAN (DK: $8700, FD: Too pricey, dont play there) Stroman had two straight home starts with very pitcher friendly weather conditions and he went 17 IP against the Mets and Rays allowing 2 ER, 5 hits and striking out 11 in typical Stro-fashion.  Then he got to visit PETCO park and shutout the Padres over six and now he gets the Giants out in the stadium that replaced the dumpster known as Candlestick?  What a lucky run he is on right now.  The Giants are hitting below .150 over the last week vs RHP starters and that includes their trip out to Coors Field.  They’re straight dumpster trash. The Italian (DeSclafani) is another option in this same game and he is honestly my second SP2 to pick.   OTHER PITCHING NOTES I almost went to the Cease well for the first time this year.  […]

The Dongers Club – June 8th

White Sox and Yankees game is NOT included on DraftKings despite being listed on DraftKings. Tigers and Phillies IS on FanDuel.   WEATHER All clear   TOP ARM(s) Justin Verlander (DK: $8600, FD: $9400) I do not fall into the category of those who think Verlander is going to look for revenge on Alonso getting hit.  That’s behind the teams right now and they wont risk JV doing something like that tonight. Bottom line, the Braves with all their potential at times still are among the more generous teams with their swings and misses and $8600 on Verlander should pay off immensely tonight.   SP2 CANDIDATES Locking in on JV with Strider is a little contrarian, I like it with one main team as a stack tonight (see below), but even that could be a tough pill to force in.  The Astros believe it or not have struggled of late with their own strikeout rates, 28% total over the last week — lots of that boosted by their performance vs Gausman in this series — and could be in line for similar results tonight, Berrios is ok — but not free of a mistake to Kyle Tucker or Alex Bregman. My Pick:  Jose Berrios Contrarian/Sneaky:  Drew Smyly   CUBS Swanson, Suzuki, Wisdom Love the Cubs.  Reid Detmers is also likely to be a chalky SP2 at $6500 on DraftKings which is even better.  They have power vs LHP and wind blowing out to center won’t hurt either. RED SOX Verdugo, Yoshida, Devers, Casas The Guardians are facing an  unknown in Dermody, but it’s the Red Sox who have the road Lefties here to hammer Civale and his horrific splits vs lefties in a lefty friendly stadium.   CATCHER Yan Gomes Connor Wong   FIRST BASE Triston Casas Josh Bell Trey Mancini   SECOND BASE Nico Hoerner Andres Gimenez   THIRD BASE Rafael Devers Patrick Wisdom   SHORTSTOP Dansby Swanson Bo Bichette   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Seiya Suzuki Masataka Yoshida Kyle Tucker Alex Verdugo   FanDuel Only:  Nick Castellanos, Trea Turner   Masataka Yoshida – OF – Boston Red Sox – Chairman of The Dongers Club Patrick Wisdom – 3B – Cubs TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over… Cubs/Angels over 9, I think the Cubs score 7 themselves Red Sox/Guadrians over 8.5   Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to […]

The Dongers Club – June 8th, Early

Try to follow along with today’s schedule updates if you can as we have two MLB DFS slates on this fine Thursday with a double header included. The White Sox and Yankees are playing two today after yesterday’s PPD, although it’s still up in the air if they actually play either game today.  The first one is at 4PM and is not on any DFS slate, while the second one has been included on DraftKings Main 7pm slate tonight. Detroit and Philly decided ah fuck it, lets not play two, do we really wanna play anyways?  So they have one game and it’s tonight on the FanDuel main slate, but that game is NOT on the DraftKings main slate because FD locks at 6pm (the DET-PHI game) and DK locks at 7pm tonight. None of this matters for THIS article though, because this is the Early slate article and all I just did was make it so that I have to repeat myself tonight on the main slate article, sorry for wasting your time.   WEATHER Arizona at Washington – We have smoke here, it smells like ass in the air and so we’ll see if they pull some crap and PPD this one, I doubt it. Coors Field should see (yes, Coors is on this slate, sorry) rain at some point in the game, not enough to PPD it though.  Again, sorry….  Wait until you hear who is pitching.   TOP ARM(s) CLAYTON KERSHAW (DK: $10.4k) The Reds are your cheap bats on the slate, so thats kinda a counter argument but they’re also unlikely to tear up Kershaw like they have the other Dodger pitchers.  Elly is going to be just fine from the right side of the plate too but the rest of the team is what I would pick on as Clayton probably has a 7+ strikeout game himself.   SP2 CANDIDATES ALEX COBB (DK: $7500) The only other arm I truly like today when factoring in price and opponents.   OTHER PITCHING NOTES Yonny Chirinos (TB) — It was announced this morning that Chirinos will start for Tampa today — his first appearance since May 16th vs the Mets.  He hasn’t faced more than 23 batters in a game, but the Twins are also ICE cold right now.  He’s a viable SP2 instead of Cobb given his price, but that would be if you are […]

The Dongers Club – June 7th

Ten games tonight.   WEATHER Chance of storms in game in Atlanta and change of rain/storms out in Colorado as well.  There will likely be bad haze/air quality once again in New York and also in Washington tonight.  Who the heck knows if they actually get all scared and try to PPD these games, they haven’t in the past to my knowledge when this happened out in Seattle a year or two ago. White Sox vs Yankees and Tigers vs Phillies officially PPD TOP ARM(s) CORBIN BURNES (DK: $10.2k, FD: $10k) Burnes is pitching well and the Orioles are more explosive against LHP, so his damage risk is minimal here and we should see a good strikeout performance to justify the five figure salary.   SP2 CANDIDATES LANCE LYNN (DK: $8700, FD: $8200) Weather/Air Quality risk of PPD for Lynn – but no Judge should make him popular and should also make him free of the risk of being pulled early.  This overall slate has a limited amount of big time strikeout potential plays, with Max Scherzer being the only one I could see having a big time game so Lynn going 6 innings (he will throw 100 pitches) and a weak Yankee lineup should justify him being alright. ZACH DAVIES (DK: $6200) I really want to scream at myself and say “WHY ARE YOU PICKING ON THE NATIONALS STILL”, but hey, here I am.  Call me crazy, but this sets up as that once every 6 starts where Davies is rolling through the first few innings without much issue.  Why?  A big deal is his pitch profiles and what the Nationals have and have not hit this season and they haven’t hit sinkers exceptionally well Favorite third pitcher – Jon Gray   OTHER PITCHING NOTES I don’t understand why Randy Vasquez is only $4,000 on DraftKings.  He has already started one game going 4 2/3 IP and really nobody should be $4k when we know they could go more than an inning.  Case in point, Ronel Blanco is $5200 for Houston.  Upside limited though.  Heck, Kutter Crawford is even $6800 and he wont throw more than 50 pitches. Max Scherzer has all the underlying signs pointing to a 10 strikeout game, except for the fact that 2023 Max Scherzer does not do what 2019 Max Scherzer would have done.   DODGERS BEtts, Smith, Taylor, Vargas Back to the well, […]

The Dongers Club – June 6th

Twelve (12) game MAIN slate today, as we have seen the sites go back to 7:05 PM lock without the Turbo slate games.  So say farewell to Royals/Marlins, Tigers/Phillies and Twins/Rays.  Pretty good Turbo slate in my mind, I like all 3 of those games to go over as well. The Cincinnati Reds have promoted the #1 hitting prospect in Baseball, Elly De La Cruz to the big leagues.  He is a super athletic switch hitting infielder (SS for now) who projects to be the next big star in a line of similar explosive athletes like Fernando Tatis, Oneil Cruz, Ronald Acuna, etc…   He long like Oneil Cruz, has an explosive bat like Tatis and can run like Acuna.  So let’s hope that this doesn’t turn into a Willie Mays Hayes situation where he runs like one but hits like shit if you know what I mean.  He’s only $2,000 on DraftKings and I haven’t even bothered to look if he is on FanDuel yet, so I will assume that he won’t be there until the 4th of July.  The Reds should let him hit leadoff and you can definitely take him and load him in tonight if you want.  He’ll be a regular in this article.   WEATHER Everything will play tonight, a few scattered showers in some games and some wind as well, but really nothing to worry about adjusting your lineups around. There is also a massive amount of smoke in the atmosphere coming down from Canada, and while there could be massive amounts of Alek Manoah jokes I will pass on that for now.  It’s related to some wildfires or something and it will make for very hazy and bad air conditions in New York and Philadelphia tonight, as well as somewhat in DC but the air in DC always sucks so who can really tell.   TOP ARM(s) Logan Gilbert (DK: $9900, FD: $9800) Joe Musgrove (DK: $7800, FD: $8300) One tough start against the Yankees when they ambushed his four-seamer and got him rattled early does not mean we should pivot off him against a mediocre Padres lineup.  His opponent (Musgrove) is usually very good at home in friendly PETCO and also $2100 cheaper on DraftKings, so this does setup a nice SP gamestack option if you want to lock in on ~40+ DK points from your SP’s and not sweat anything early.  Both […]

PGA DFS: RBC Canadian Open

Broken down by pricing tiers, Mark Farris outlines his favorite PGA DFS plays on DraftKings

The Dongers Club – June 5th

Good news, we have both FanDuel and DraftKings included two 6:40 PM games on the MAIN slate tonight to bring the total up to seven games.   Bad news, we have both FanDuel and DraftKings including the Royals and Marlins on the MAIN slate tonight.   WEATHER No issues   TOP ARM(s) Aaron Nola (DK: $10.2k) Outside of Nola deciding he wants to pitch with his left hand or his head in the cloud tonight, there’s a low probability that he winds up struggling against the Tigers.  They’re back to whiffing a good amount vs RHP, they don’t hit stuff which breaks very well and Nick Maton doesn’t exactly get me excited in the “revenge” narrative department.   SP2 CANDIDATES Secondary choices tonight begin with Braxton Garrett (vs KC), Blake Snell (vs CHC) and the battle of JP Sears versus Johan Oviedo.  None of which are solid plays here. Blake Snell is the one you roster when you want to feel like you have a shot because he is the last pitcher going, pitches well at home and the Cubs are ready to get the heck out of San Diego after a wrap-around road trip (they go to Anaheim tomorrow).  But Chicago has some power vs a LHP, so he’s not free and clear of damage for $9700. Garrett to me is the risky chalk fade.  I suspect he is popular vs Kansas City, but lots of profile concerns against their lineup and someone who has had to rely on strikeouts to hit value due to low PC’s is not going to run away with the slate. JP Sears is someone I really like tonight.  Pittsburgh isn’t hitting for much power, especially at home, and Sears has not struggled with command.  He’s cheaper than Garrett, will strikeout fewer, but is for sure your contrarian pivot. And then we have Jim Abbott’s son, yes, that Jim Abbott, the one handed lefty who threw a no hitter once.  Seriously, ya’ll claim that Shohei Ohtani is some awesome pitcher, has he every thrown a no-hitter?  I didn’t think so, this guy did it with one hand. Anyways…  His son’s name is Andrew or Andy, not to be confused with the kid from Toy Story, who probably is old enough to pitch now too but he spent all his time playing with little boy dolls and was too scared to beat the crap out of […]

Sunday Dongers Club, June 4th

Welcome to the Sunday Edition of The Dongers Club, with one showdown game going off between the Cardinals and Pirates featuring the Porn Stache Miles Mikolas and Dick Mountain, live at 11:35 am, streaming live into your living rooms on Peacock. Then we have a ten game Main slate, followed by the most underrated slate in Daily Fantasy Sports, a three game 4PM Sunday afternoon slate which features the Italian, a Gallen and maybe some Marcus Stroman chalk. It all wraps up with an early dusk/late afternoon game in Chavez Ravine between Domingo German and Bobby Miller. Should be a good Sunday, folks.   Let’s dive in.   WEATHER Without looking, guess what the temperature in Boston is today….  It’s 48 degrees.  For a HIGH!  With an 18% chance of rain.   Get the fuck out of here.  In May?  And my wife wonders why we’ll never move up there.  F that noise man. Overall that 1-2 day heat wave has gone away everywhere.  All games should play though without any PPD risk.   TOP ARM(s) Sandy Alcantara (DK: $9000, FD: $9700) South Beach Sunday with Sandy, the hapless Athletics and one of his best spots of the season and certainly of late.  Look for a 30% strikeout rate against a lineup who doesn’t walk an excessive amount and has very little power.  7 innings, 7 strikeouts, 1 ER.  Lock and load Sandy… Nate Eovaldi (DK: $11k, FD: $10.8k) Eovaldi versus Bryce Miller is easily the best A vs B pitching match-up today.  I don’t wanna fuck with Texas’ lineup right now so Miller is OUT and Eovaldi at 11k on DraftKings has been producing like that but presents a scenario of deciding to pair him and the comfortable Alcantara together and manage the lineup construction after that.   SP2 CANDIDATES There are none today.  You are either pairing the two guys above together or moving down to the Sunday Sleeper gut call section and boy do I have some thoughts in that regard. Taj Bradley at $8800 just doesn’t work for me.  Put all your data and metrics aside and recognize that you’ll be banking on a Rays pitcher who has not thrown more than 90 pitches all season (his last start) to go longer and better than Sandy or big Nate and even in chilly Boston I can’t justify that as a thing you must do.  Will he suck?  Doubt […]