NFL Primetime MNF Special – Week 3

Another MNF with two games on it and yes, I am starting to like this format.  Give us more of this and less of the Thursday Night garbage games in the future and I’ll be happy.  But, I also know that won’t happen. Tonight we have the 2-0 Eagles and 2-0 Buccaneers along with the […]

NFL DFS: Sunday Night Football Showdown – Week 3 – Steelers vs Raiders

NOTE: All pricing references pertain to DraftKings Game Theory / Strategy The Raiders come home for their first home game of the season while the Steelers are off a late MNF win over their rival Browns last Monday. This sets up well for the Raiders to get their first win of the season and I […]

The AMBUSH – NFL Week 3

WEATHER It’s mostly rain, there is some wind in the Titans/Browns game, but not enough for me to be overly concerned about changing thoughts on that game.  Most of the rain spots are going to appear bad given the Saturday rain in the same areas, but they all should be tapering off around game time. […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Sep 23rd (Night)

A seven game Saturday Night slate today, kinda quiet, but every game is REALLY good. ARKANSAS vs LSU KJ Jefferson is going to give LSU problems and on the flip side, it’s kinda hard to not look at either Brian Thomas or Jayden Daniels by themselves.  Not sure we go full stack here, but this […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Sep 23rd

9:30 am Update:  Well, looks like I hadn’t hit save on my late edits before the article auto-published, so if you read this before 9:30 then you probably saw just some names without full context.  I apologize for that, but not much has changed other than me adding in some information here. WEATHER There is […]

The Dongers Club – 9/22

The plan remains that today would be the final Dongers Club for 2023 Regular Season, with full plans to do the usual Post-Season analysis and DFS when we have good slates in October.  It should be a fantastic post-season this year, especially in the American League. For those playing through the final week, the Dashboard/Model will continue to update and for those going into this weekend enjoy all the rain issues that are gonna pop up.   WEATHER All 11 games on the MAIN slate should get through tonight.  I think the rain holds off in DC to let Atlanta/Washington get tonight in & honestly they should have adjusted to start early and play 2, but hey, what do I know. Same too for Mets/Phillies   The top options today: Pablo Lopez (DK: $10,700) … Challenge for the Angels tonight.  Get a hit.  Let’s see if they can do that. Brandon Pfaadt (DK: $6800) … Do not use Pfaadt on FanDuel.  Arizona needs to keep winning and there’s no reason for them to let him pitch out of a jam come the 4th or 5th inning.  But if he can avoid that then at $6800 on DraftKings he should be viable against a Yankee Lineup already working on their fall vacation plans.  Shit, they’ve already done the fall ones, they’re working on Christmas plans.  What do you think Aaron Judge gets his wife for Christmas?  No doubt he gets her a full sized poster of himself getting thrown out of games, right?  What a douche. The other pool of options Charlie Morton, Chris Sale and even Cole Ragans were all tempting, but expecting a huge must own game from any of them is a stretch.  Sale makes some sense against his now way former team the WHite Sox, but $9200 for Sale is uneasy when we are locking in on Lopez as SP1. I gave some consideration to Ken Waldichuck at $7100, hell even a little thought on Touki Toussaint hoping for strikeouts against the Red Sox but no thanks. It’s ugly…   The Mariners and Rangers begin a HUGE serires in Texas and tonight should be a good back and forth 7-6 type final where the lead changes 4 or 5 times. The Royals always rake in Houston, they should hit Framber Valdez too.  The $3700 price on Maikel Garcia makes him a nice pair with Texas boy Bobby […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Sep 22nd

A good FOUR game slate on this Friday evening, setting us up for a big CFB Saturday slate. Wisconsin at Purdue N.C. State at Virginia Boise State at San Diego State Air Force at San Jose State   Not any specific game which is a ‘gotta have it’ spot tonight, so this allows us to […]

The Dongers Club – 9/21

WEATHER Seven games to compete with NFL Thursday Night Football today with zero weather issues.   The top options today: Tarik Skubal (DK: $9600, FD: $10300) Grayson Rodriguez (DK: $8100, FD: $9000) Kyle Hendricks (DK: $7600, FD: $8400)   Orioles (Lefties) Mets Phillies   CATCHER Francisco Alvarez Adley Rutschman JT Realmuto   FIRST BASE Ryan O’Hearn Pete Alonso   SECOND BASE Ji hwan Bae Jordan Westburg Michael Chavis   THIRD BASE Gunnar Henderson Carter Kieboom Christopher Morel   SHORTSTOP Trea Turner Francisco Lindor   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Joc Pederson Anthony Santander Ian Happ Kerry Carpenter   Ryan O’Hearn – 1B – Baltimore Orioles – Chairman of The Dongers Club  

The Dongers Club – 9/20

Do not ask me what FanDuel was thinking today, because they just weren’t thinking.  Job well done by DraftKings making the afternoon set of games today the ‘main’ slate for us to dive into.   WEATHER All games are clear and the roof is closed in Arizona   My top options today: Josiah Gray ($6500) … If the ‘optimizer’ chalk doesn’t land folks on Gray today then we win all the money.  The kid has talent and there is zero pressure pitching this late in the year against Anderson, Benintendi and Moncada.  A chilly afternoon in DC and coming off a great start we can expect another good one today as the White Sox aren’t hitting RHP exceptionally well right now (.187 over the last week with 27% strikeout rate) and well, they’re the White Sox. Merrill Kelly ($9600) … Facing Logan Day game Webb (shocker).  Kelly is great at home & worth paying a little extra for.  The Giants probably will throw 6 lefties at him but Kelly’s concerns are more so with his command which is normally better at home. George Kirby / Lucas Giolito best third options…   Other pitching thoughts Aaron Nola ($10,000) … Normally we would just look here and say Nola day game (bad), Nola road (bad), Nola vs Braves (bad).  But after a couple high scoring games and with Nola having 3 bad starts in a row, this is where you dive into him having a better outing. I expect some offense in the Rockies/Padres game, so I wouldn’t touch Seth Lugo   Baltimore (Henderson, O’Hearn) … The Orioles are LOVING life in Houston right now and after clinching they have gone on fire, which is the mark of a hungry  young team who is going to be playing deep into October. San Diego (Kim/Tatis/Soto) … Padres should drop 8-9 on Colorado today.  Gotta smash Chase Anderson Pads. Texas (Lowe/Seager)   CATCHER Bo Naylor Jonah Heim JT Realmuto   FIRST BASE Ryan O’Hearn / Ryan Mountcastle … Can pair both by using ROH in the OF.  Wouldn’t be shocked if they went B2B today… This of course assumes Mountcastle returns to the lineup, but RvR against Javier in Houston could not be a better way to heal. Nathaniel Lowe Dominic Smith   SECOND BASE Ha-Seong Kim Jorge Polanco Andres Gimenez   THIRD BASE Royce Lewis … If he comes up with the bases loaded […]