WEATHER All clear & very hitter friendly There’s no clear SP1 on the 8 game afternoon slate today. It’s a mix of guys who can be good, but are in the dreaded 4PM Saturday spot for pitchers when ever since 2022/2023 the new Baseball mudding system seems to generate nothing but 1st and 5th inning home runs in the Baseballs. Don’t believe me? Just sit back and count the 1st and 5th inning overs today. And naturally, we have seemingly every “I’m a guy who knows how to get through 6 IP, try to limit the opponent to 2-3 ER and wind up with a Quality Start to say I am good” pitcher going today. So here’s the three I think can deliver that type of line without a -14 result. DREW RASMUSSEN (DK: $8500) … Should be the cleanest path. The Angels are 30th vs RHP in AVG, bottom 10 in xWOBA, SLG and K% & the indoor environment of Tampa’s Finest Costco Warehouse is good for the 30 year old veteran to keep his recent string of quality starts going once more today. SETH LUGO (DK: $7600) … Like Ras, Lugo is in a climite controlled spot and a bottom 10 offense on the other side. His counterpart Kumar Rocker in this game has some value too, but overall I lean on Lugo because he went through a rough patch in the early part of the month but seems to be trending back to good. One thing of note, he threw only 86 pitches last time out, his lowest in his last 5+ starts, so the freshness should be good for the old arm. PARKER MESSICK (DK: $8600) … I had Keller here in the third spot, but I just cannot trust him as he is the epitome of 1st and 5th inning blow-ups. Give me anything vs Boston at this point. It’s maybe not a massive upside play – but they’re a terrible offense and a dead team. UPSIDE FADES Yesavage and King PIRATES Brandon Lowe Bryan Reynolds Oneil Cruz PADRES Manny Machado Fernando Tatis Jr Ramon Laureano ORIOLES Adley Rutschman Colton Cowser Pete Alonso CATCHER Henry Davis Salvador Perez Adley Rutschman FIRST BASE Christian Walker Pete Alonso Vinnie Pasquantino SECOND BASE Brandon Lowe Fernando Tatis Jr. Travis Bazzana THIRD BASE Manny Machado … Just Play Manny. …...
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