We are down to just two more MLB Sunday’s and have a nine game one today before the Holiday weekend next week.
WEATHER
A heat wave is coming back through the nation so maybe, just maaybe we’ll see some home runs today?
All games play
KEVIN GAUSMAN (DK: $9300, FD: $9000)
This guy on Sunday’s is starting to pitch more than Logan Webb does on day games. He isn’t up there on the Jose Quintana or Brady Singer level of staring on Sunday’s but it always feels like when he does he is facing a shitty opponent and heavy chalk. The Angels of Anaheim have entered the chat … Without many other high end upside options today you should just take Gausman at 80% and move on — I know that’s not what you want to hear, but it’s the truth.
Now, lets go find you a SP2.
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You’re not going to find anything in any data element that clearly points to a second option.
TANNER HOUCK (DK: $8800, FD: $9300)
There’s one guy who could possibly match Gausman and it’s Houck, but he’s also gonna have to roll through the typical lefty gauntlet that the Diamondbacks are rolling out. Jake McCarthy may be showing signs of coming back to earth and if that’s the case then Houck will get through the first 5 without major damage while getting plenty of run support IMO.
NICK MARTINEZ (DK: $6500)
Gut feeling, nothing more, nothing less. He’s my cheaper SP2 today.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- Marcus Stroman could throw a no hitter while helping deliver a baby in section 147 during the 6th inning and I still wouldn’t regret fading him.
- If Tyler Anderson wasn’t $8200 I would take a gamble on him repeating his success vs the Blue Jays
- In case you haven’t noticed I can’t trust a guy who has Ass and sad in his name — even vs the Marlins. Just bad mojo.
- Seth Lugo and Erick Fedde will both get you a 12 and then it turns into a 6 in the blink of an eye. I can get that from Nick Martinez while hoping to watch a brawl happen.
RED SOX
Wilyer Abreu, Triston Casas, Rafael Devers
Diamondbacks SP Merrill Kelly doesn’t favor too well vs LHH and that’s of course what Boston has best. Walks and hard hit balls a plenty today with Triston Casas turning on a sinker that Kelly is going to regret throwing to make it a 3-0 Boston lead very early in this one.
WHITE SOX
Luis Robert Jr, Lenyn Sosa, Andrew Vaughn
Really like both sides offensively in a warm and windy Shitty Comiskey Field today. Favor the White Sox? Yes, I do. But not without the Tigers putting up a 4 or 5 spot of their own.
PHILLIES vs ROYALS
Definitely going to get 2-3 HR in this game in a 90+ degree Kauffman Stadium. Castellanos HR in Kansas City is more due than the Chairman and Bobby Baseball flexes one out as well.
CATCHER
- Ryan Jeffers
- Connor Wong
- Austin Hedges / Drew Romo / Anyone Cheap
FIRST BASE
- Triston Casas
- Andrew Vaughn
- Harper, Bryce
SECOND BASE
- Colt Keith
- Lenyn Sosa (Can also use at 3B)
- Amed Rosario
- Brendan Rodgers
THIRD BASE
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Rafael Devers
- Jose Ramirez
SHORTSTOP
Very tough spot to peg down tonight. Seager/Witt/EDLC are really one offs who can obviously each put up a 30 on their own. Willi Castro and the Twins should have a big inning vs Fedde but not much more then that. I’m okay punting this spot if you go heavy on the OF spots.
- Corey Seager
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Willi Castro
- Elly De La Cruz
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
There appears to be a ton of hitting today and it’s heavily weighted in the outfield. Almost every team that I think has high upside is carried by their OF weight and of course I haven’t even mentioned Judge, Soto, Durran as obvious plays. If you get a 0 in your outfield then it’s time to just move on to another slate because you won’t be winning shit.
- Wilyer Abreu
- Riley Greene
- Luis Robert Jr.
- Giancarlo Stanton
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Nick Castellanos
- Nolan Jones
- Lane Thomas
- Ian Happ
- Lars Nootbar
- Triston Casas – 1B – Boston Red Sox – Chairman of THE Dongers Club
- Nolan Jones – OF – Rockies
- Jazz Chisholm Jr – 3B – Yankees
- Giancarlo Stanton – OF – Yankees
- Bobby Witt Jr – SS – Royals
- Nick Castellanos – OF – Phillies
- Ryan Jeffers – C – Twins
- Colt Keith – 2B – Tigers
- BONUS …………. Luis Robert Jr – OF – White Sox
TOP BETS
- Tigers/White Sox OVER 9
- Boston ML (-130)
- Phillies/Royals – Yes Runs First Inning
SUNDAY LONGSHOT
YOLO – Blowout OppositeTheory Parlay: Yankees ML + Rangers ML + Pirates ML + Marlins ML + Royals ML