Closer to what we should have generally with a 12 game Tuesday night slate. This is due to there being two Turbo Games and a double header between the Cardinals/Tigers which is ignored entirely for MAIN slate purposes (thankfully).
From a timing perspective the slate is awesome with five games at 7pm, two at 8pm and then the rest on the West coast late night. It sets up glorious for a late night tilt lineup scenario as well.
WEATHER
No issues, roof open again in Arizona & probably open in Texas
MITCH KELLER (DK: $8800, FD: $9000) … Keller is a good enough pitcher that when facing a team who has no intel on him he should be able to get swings early to avoid walks. His last start was a strenuous one against the Brewers who know him well, but in that spot he also had a very low 13% ground ball rate and I doubt that carries over tonight.
LUIS CASTILLO (DK: $8600, FD: $9700) … Huh? What are we missing here? Is this a trap spot with the pricing given that Atlanta is in one of their swing and miss at everything modes? For all the blind people who assumed Acuna was 1.1 this year, how is that strikeout regression off an insanely low 2023 number going? Until Acuna/Albies do turn it on, we attack Atlanta. And yeah, I believe they’ll turn it on soon enough but you simply cannot start your DFS slate tonight without deciding to use Castillo or not.
FREDDY PERALTA (DK: 10k, FD: $10.4k) … The one glimmer of hope for the Rays is that they’re not the best team to just come out and fire fastballs against all game long. This team still thinks they can win by trying to out homer everyone even with dead baseballs back in play and maybe Arozarena runs into a long fly ball out to center field and maybe Isaac Paredes does get one out down the left field line. Where the maybe ends is with Peralta giving you a 6 inning, 7 strikeout, 2 ER floor and that’s very solid tonight.
Other Pitching Notes
- Sean Manaea has absolutely ZERO upside. It’s like if Martin Perez and Dallas Keuchel had a kid together.
- Ragans vs Berrios could be the spot with the sneaky upside scenario but it’s also a one week turn around re-match so advantage hitters.
- MacKenzie gore will strikeout 8 guys tonight. He’s also serving up 2 homers.
GUARDIANS
Jose Ramirez, Josh Naylor, Tyler Freeman
Very under the radar and hitting well top to bottom. We know they still dont K much which should make for a long night for Houston.
TWINS
Edouard Julien, Carlos Correa, Max Kepler
Obvious chalk spot today IMO against Soroka. Kepler is the key hitter.
NATS vs RANGERS
CJ Abrams, Keibert Ruiz || Adolis Garcia, Marcus Semien
While I love Gore and he should get some whiffs from the Rangers, he’s also going to hang a couple that leave the yard. Flip it over to the Nats for nice value against Jon Gray who isn’t exactly rolling right now.
CATCHER
- Keibert Ruiz
- Luis Campusano
- Gary Sanchez
FIRST BASE
Deepest position on the board today.
- Jake Cronenworth
- Josh Naylor
- Vinnie Pasquantino … Naturally, he will homer tonight.
- LaMonte Wade Jr.
SECOND BASE
- Edouard Julien
- Mookie Betts
- Ketel Marte
THIRD BASE
- Jose Ramirez
- Alec Bohm
- Matt Chapman
SHORTSTOP
- CJ Abrams
- Bobby Witt Jr
- Dansby Swanson
- Trea Turner
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Adolis Garcia
- Teoscar Hernandez
- Yordan Alvarez
- Mike Yastrzemski
OUTFIELD – Value
- Tyler Freeman
- Sir Thomas Pham
- Mike Yastrzemski – OF – Giants – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Adolis Garcia – OF – Rangers
- Keibert Ruiz – C – Nationals
- Teoscar Hernandez – OF – Dodgers
- Jose Ramirez – 3B – Guardians
- Mookie Betts – 2B – Dodgers
- Vinnie Pasquantino – 1B – Royals
- CJ Abrams – SS – Nationals
- BONUS …. Jake Cronenworth – 1B – Padres
TOP BETS
Padres ML + Pirates ML Parlay
Cleveland/Houston OVER 9.5
Guardians ML / Early Win