There are six months of MLB DFS action and so far the first three days have been fun. Today is a holiday, a Sunday and a very boring and quiet slate IMO.
WEATHER
No issues.
TREVOR ROGERS (DK: $8600, FD: $8900) … This isn’t a south beach theory necessarily, as much as it is a lack of good arm talent going today. Really if you exclude Gausman and Sale off the theory that you don’t wanna force veteran aces early in the year then you land on someone like Rogers, who is still trying to prove that he can be a reliable 28-30 start pitcher as they will need from him this season. Pittsburgh’s been the winner of the sleeper series thus far but they do have some holes vs LHP and should net Rogers a 5-6 strikeout performance.
TYLER WELLS (DK: $8300, FD: $9300) … We have to be smart with the Orioles vs the Angels and expect a QS and the win and Wells does a good job of keeping men off base and was very good at Camden Yards in 2023. If you aren’t using Wells then I can only assume you have an Angels leverage stack.
THE SUNDAY SLEEPER
Jack Flaherty (DK: $8900, FD: $9000)
Now a Tiger, he might be able to keep the walks down simply by pitching in the AL Central. The White Sox did go off yesterday, but I still see this as a bad lineup and the weather is chilly here. Ball shouldn’t carry much.
OTHER SP THOUGHTS …
- Brady Singer has always struggled vs the Twins, I will pass him here.
- Chris Sale was good in Spring, but I have to see it in the regular season before locking him in. He’s a streaky guy, who needs to get into a groove and opening start doesn’t feel like that time to take that risk.
I don’t see this being an over the top – gotta have a stack – type slate. Meaning, no team is dropping a 10-12 spot and doing the default 4-3-1 type build is not likely to wind up looking that great today.
Top Stacks
- Minnesota Twins (Alex Kirilloff, Max Kepler, Byron Buxton) … Decent weather at the K today, with the Twins being affordable on DraftKings to produce the best chance of a 3 or 4 man stack paying off.
- Houston Astros (Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker)
- Nationals (CJ Abrams) & Reds (Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Will Benson)
CATCHER
- Henry Davis
- Yainer Diaz
- Adley Rutschman
FIRST BASE
- Alex Kirilloff
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Also good at 3B, which is thinner than 1B today)
- Ryan Mountcastle
SECOND BASE
- Jeff McNeil
- Marcus Semien
- Jonathan India
THIRD BASE
- Jake Burger
- Brett Baty
- Josh Jung
SHORTSTOP
- CJ Abrams
- Elly De La Cruz
- Carlos Correa
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Yordan Alvarez
- Jesus Sanchez
- Max Kepler
- Wyatt Langford
- Alex Kirilloff – 1B – Twins – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Yordan Alvarez – OF – Astros
- CJ Abrams – SS – Nationals
- Jake Burger – 3B – Marlins
- Jesus Sanchez – OF – Marlins
- Jeff McNeil – 2B – Mets
- Yordan Alvarez – OF – Astros
- Wyatt Langford – OF – Rangers
- BONUS …. Christian Encarnacion-Strand – Reds
TOP BETS
- Marlins + Tigers ML Parlay
- Mets ML
- Twins/Royals OVER 9
- Nats/Reds OVER 10
CORE BATS
- 1B – Alex Kirilloff
- 3B – Jake Burger
- SS – CJ Abrams
- OF – Yordan Alvarez
Good luck!