The Dongers Club – July 28th

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

Everyone is playing today, which is great news after most of the league had Thursday off to sit at home and watch Shohei Ohtani absolutely just go bananas on the Detroit Tigers. We’re very close to the trade deadline and players are going to be moving around over the next 2-3 days as teams try to make last minute moves, but I would imagine 80% of the trades will be middle relief 4th/5th starters and very few positional players that have DFS impact on us.  That said, it would be extremely wise of the Cardinals to get what they can for Nolan Arenado and if he does go to the Dodgers then they are the immediate World Series favorite. Meanwhile the Chicago White Sox have officially announced they will no longer be participating in the 2023 MLB season.  Which nobody cares about since they really have not participated in the 2023 MLB season so far.   WEATHER Excessive Heat, whatever that really means across most of the U.S. today.  With this comes the chance for pop-up storms so we’ll maybe wanna check that closer to 7pm lock time but as of now, all games should play.   My favorite pitching name match-up today includes Yonny Chirinos (he’s a Brave now) against Adrian Houser down in Atlanta.  Why?  Because Yo, Adrian! that’s why.  Aside from that, we have Wheeler, Gausman, Cole, Musgrove, Scherzer, McClanahan, Gilbert, GrayRod, Brady Si…. okay, we have some good pitchers going today folks, but naturally they’re all in tricky scenarios. TOP ARMS MACKENZIE GORE DraftKings – 7300, FD: $8900 The Mets have as much life as a U.S. Senator these days and have continued to be bad against left handed pitching.  Pete Alonso had his fun in a little league park earlier this week and with the trades starting you can rest assured that the veterans on this lineup will have zero life in them today.  I expect Gore to dominate with a 7 inning, 3 hit type performance today. ZACK WHEELER DraftKings:  $9800 – FD: $10,600 This one shouldn’t be a tricky spot in Pittsburgh for Wheeler.  A streaky guy who is pitching very well right now.  There is chance that this game has late inning storms that roll through, so he could get cut short beceause of that, however among the top end pitchers he has the least amount of risk today. DANE DUNNING DraftKings:  $6,000…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in