MLB · June 26, 2023

The Dongers Club – June 26th

Only six MLB games tonight and there are none which are going off earlier than the 7:05 first pitch.  There is the College World Series final game between Floriduh and LSU, which you should definitely tune in for and back the Tigers to win.

 

WEATHER

More storms, and some vicious ones are expected in the Mid-Atlantic this evening.  I do believe all games will find a way to start on time and finish.

The two games which could have the worst in game delays are

Reds at Orioles – Early in the game, likely before they start

Brewers at Mets – Late in the game, hopefully after Verlander has dominated

 

TOP ARM

JUSTIN VERLANDER (DK: $8300, FD: $8100)

Not Strider, not Castillo, its JV who I am in love with tonight and think we might even see that “no hitter” alert around the 6th or 7th inning.  Milwaukee isn’t hitting anything of late, they’re striking out 30%+ of the time and Verlander is well into a groove now as he has adjusted to the pitch clock, his new team and is ramped up to his normal 110 pitch limit without concern.

The Mets DESPERATELY need some good vibes are a complete melt down on Sunday and JV should be the typical ‘slump stopper’ ace today.

 

SPENCER STRIDER (DK: $12,600, FD: $11,300)

We have plenty of decent value hitting options to plug-in allowing for Strider to lock in with JV tonight, no sense going elsewhere unless you feel concerned with weather on Verlander, in which case your options should go to either Luis Castillo (meh) or …

or ….

or ya know what, just hammer LSU vs Florida and take the night off

 

ORIOLES

Jordan Westburg, Adley Rutschman, Austin Hays

Another day, another Orioles prospect is up and another reason why they’re most definitely winning a World Series this decade.  You build winning teams around the positional players, not pitching and the Orioles have called up infielder Jordan Westburg who had a .939 OPS in AAA and 18 HR.  He’s good and he’s cheap on DK & by cheap I mean $2000!

MARINERS

Jarred Kelenic, Ty France, Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh

We could see this game finish with the most runs on the slate tonight and I promise you that nobody is expecting that.  Trevor Williams continues to be someone who gives up lots of contact (and productive contact) to LH but homers to RHH.  Ty France is taking him deep tonight.

TIGERS

Spencer Torkelson, Matt Vierling, Zack Short

Cheap and some power upside here, they hit sliders well, so secondary stuff from Andrew Heaney will play out well for them today.  Good leverage spot too if Heaney does wind up getting some SP2 ownership due to rain concerns elsewhere.

 

CATCHER

  1. Adley Rutschman
  2. Keibert Ruiz
  3. Cal Raleigh

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Ty France
  2. Spencer Torkelson
  3. Alex Kiriloff

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Jonathan India
  2. Luis V Garcia
  3. Zack Short

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Josh Jung
  2. Eugenio Suarez
  3. Gunnar Henderson

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Jordan Westburg
  2. JP Crawford
  3. Javier Baez

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Austin Hays … Even though Santander is on fire, Hays and Adley should benefit tonight
  2. Jarred Kelenic
  3. Julio Rodriguez
  4. Eloy Jimenez

 

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Starling Marte
  2. Eddie Rosario
  3. Matt Vierling

 

  1. Ty France – 1B – Seattle Mariners – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Jordan Westburg – SS – Orioles
  3. Adley Rutschman – C – Orioles
  4. Josh Jung – 3B – Rangers

 

TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS

Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…

  • Nationals/Mariners
  • Reds/Orioles

 

Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.

  • Brewers/Mets (Not sure the Brewers get a hit)

 

ML Targets

  • Orioles (I think they win in a blowout)
  • Mets
  • Tigers
  • White Sox

 

Contrarian Parlay:   Tigers & White Sox ML

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