7 game early slate today and 6 game Main slate tonight. The seven games going early include:
- Blue Jays at Marlins
- Orioles at Rays
- Cubs at Pirates
- Rockies at Reds
- Royals at Tigers
- Diamondbacks at Brewers
- Mets at Astros
WEATHER
No weather concerns early.
TOP ARM
ZAC GALLEN (DK: $10,100, FD: $10,500)
No chance Mr. Jesse Winker touches the baseball today after his HR we called last night, so just mark down those K’s in the box score, but make sure one is backwards so you don’t get canceled for being racist.
Oh, and throw in some more for Adames, Urias and Tellez too. Maybe a walk for Tellez. But really I cannot find a single hitter on the Brewers I like, which means they might put up 10 in the first inning given how that usually plays for for stud pitchers. Gallen hasn’t thrown over 100 pitches in his last 2 starts which is a good thing here, he should be fresh to go deep.
SECONDARY ARMS
ANDREW ABBOTT (DK: $8,200)
As much as I am backing the Reds right now and through this season now I am still not buying into AA long term as more than a #3/#4 arm, although really that’s what they just want him to be. But if you listen to DFS analysts you probably think he shits golden turtles with PhD’s every time he eats McDonalds food.
All that aside, the Rockies are in a getaway spot before returning home after this road trip (DO NOT GOOGLE WHO THEY PLAY AT HOME THIS WEEKEND IF YOU DONT WANT TO RUIN YOUR DAY) and their two best hitters right now are both on the left side (McMahon/Jones) — so we’re basically wondering if Randal Grichuk or Jurickson Profar are gonna be able to touch Abbott’s pitch from the left side and maybe Grichuk can get the bat out in front to pull one to LF or it’s going to end up going foul in his 2nd AB today. Either way, Abbott will come through with another 15-18 point performance.
BRADY SINGER (DK: $5,500)
Hang on. Singer vs the Tigers for 5500?
OTHER PITCHING NOTES
Gausman vs Sandy is quite the name draw, can Gausman strike out Luis Arraez though? That’s the drama I want to see in this game. I won’t laugh at you if you want to go Gausman over Gallen, however I strongly discourage jumping on the “Sandy’s due to break out” narrative here. Not after a 10 hit performance, you can check back in with him post ASB when he’ll rattle off 4 straight elite performances.
Kyle Hendricks vs Dick Mountain. Imagine the dismay when a group of boys and girls from the local Pittsburgh summer camp show up to PNC Park today and they find out it’s senior citizens day down at Pittsburgh. You wanna describe NL Central Baseball? How about a Wednesday afternoon game between Kyle Hendricks and Rich Hill in Pittsburgh…. I am speechless.
Once again, much like last night I am not jumping on “full stack the ____” but also unlike last night we do not have the sure thing SP’s at the top to anchor our lineup where you just build around some solo homers. You’ll want a 3 man core “stack” today for sure.
ASTROS
Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Kyle Tucker
Megill was great in his last start vs the Cardinals, a spot in which I was saying go 5 guys vs him, today we’ll go back to the well. He’s not the guy we saw last Friday and did I mention he is … tall? Hello Mr. Altuve and Mr. Bregman. There should be good value with the Houston bottom part of the order, none of them are elite vs RHP though so it’s hoping they do damage when Megill is about to be pulled or when the Mets do go to the pen.
REDS
Jake Fraley, Spencer Steeer, Elly De La Cruz
Houston is actually a good pivot off the Reds because of position strength, specifically 2B/SS utilization. TJ Friedl is likely chalky here again, but Steer/Fraley are the OF options I expect to do well
PIRATES
Bryan Reynolds, Jack Suwinski, KeBryan Hayes
Good luck Hendricks.
CATCHER
- Yainer Diaz
- Tyler Stephenson
- Salvador Perez
FIRST BASE
- Pete Alonso
- Christian Walker
- Spencer Steer
SECOND BASE
- Jose Altuve
- Jonathan India
- Jeff McNeil
THIRD BASE
- Alex Bregman
- Emmanuel Rivera
- KeBryan Hayes
SHORTSTOP
- Elly De La Cruz
- Jeremy Pena
- Bobby Witt Jr
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Bryan Reynolds
- George Springer
- Jack Suwinski
- Kyle Tucker
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Jake Fraley
- Ian Happ
OUTFIELD – Value
- Tommy Pham
- Jake McCarthy
- Randal Grichuk
- Jose Altuve – 2B – Houston Astros – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- George Springer – OF Blue Jays
- Jack Suwinski – OF – Pirates
- Jake Fraley – OF – Reds
- Salvador Perez – C – Royals
- Elly – SS – Reds
- Emmanuel Rivera – 3B – Diamondbacks
- Pete Alonso – 1B – Mets
- BONUS …………… Kyle Tucker – OF – Astros
TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS
Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…
- Mets/Astros
Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.
- Orioles/Rays
ML Targets
- Diamondbacks
- Astros
- Royals
- Reds