Somewhere out there in the DFS land someone is going to mention that today is a “big” slate. It’s not, we are deprived of four Turbo slate games my friends. Some might say this is a random Tuesday, and they would be right, but it’s not your average random Tuesday night because there’s some large contests out there in DFS land.
WEATHER
Couple minor spots with rain but all should play.
Cardinals at Nationals
Cubs at Pirates
Rockies at Reds
Athletics at Guardians – Expect this one to be delayed at the start then play.
TOP ARM
GERRITT COLE (DK: $10.9k, FD: $10,600)
Mr. $100k for me last year is getting a Mariners team who has been striking out more than a single white nerdy dude who lives in an apartment and sells DFS advice on the internet does at his local watering hole. The 4-9 part of Seattle’s lineup is strikeout heaven right now for opposing RHP, Cole is getting what should be a quiet weather night in Yankee Stadium and most likely this game finishes as a 1-0 final, just not sure we can be positive who wins it with the way the Yankee lineup is hitting. But Cole is our guy today for 8 IP, 10K performance.
SECONDARY ARMS
DYLAN CEASE (DK: $7700, FD: $8,600)
Two guys who are probably too cheap in Cease and Verlander, and while Verlander gets all the attention tonight I will jump on the Cease heater coming off a 10K performance last outing and now facing the best team in the AL right now. It’s dangerous, it’s contrarian, it’s also a Dylan Cease night my friends.
MARCUS STROMAN (DK: $8900, FD: $10,300) – Minor rain pop up concerns
A guy who isn’t known for strikeouts against a lineup not known for strikeouts is not exactly a “win me the slate” spot when you are almost 9k and certainly not for his 10.3k price on FanDuel. But if you put that aside, we should see Stroman have a clean game today, he’s pitched well all season and should be pitching well down the stretch to either help the Cubs or get potentially shipped out somewhere else before the trade deadline. 7 innings of limited hits and runs tonight gets him into the 18 DK FPTS range which should be a fine pairing with Cole.
OTHER PITCHING NOTES
I really like both MacKenzie Gore and Ben Lively tonight. Gore is the one who I believe has the better full game today, as the Cardinals vs breaking pitches has been an adventure and his hook is pretty damn good. He does have to get by that Paul DeJong homer here tonight but I would consider him for multiple lineup entries.
George Kirby / Nate Eovaldi will do well too in their match-ups, this is overall a good pitching slate and I just wasn’t gonna put 10 guys up in the top tiers and prefer their home counterparts in both spots.
The Mets haven’t won vs good left handed pitching, so Framber Valdez is likely to out pitch Verlander, but lots of risk pitching in that park vs Alonso/Pham and now Lindor.
This is a line em up and then spread em out slate. A perfect 2-2-2-1-1 type configuration build day and it’s one where you’ll probably not feel extremely confident with the names you throw together in lineups tonight. Fear not my friends because there IS NOT a single team who is that ‘elite’ must own spot — in other words there is no Coors Field, no Braves and I am not drunk enough to say we’re stacking five Athletics.
REDS
Elly de la Cruz, Matt McLain
Ride it until they stop. Elly de la Cruz is back to his power side tonight and should go yard.
ATHLETICS
Seth Brown, Ryan Noda, Esteury Ruiz
One of the easiest decisions for me for paying up on pitching which is really good tonight was the Oakland prices in Cleveland with Aaron Civale on the bump. Loading up on 5 Athletics is suicide, but not playing a LiC here is equally a bad life decision.
TWINS
Alex Kiriloff, Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa
Teams that get blown out come back the next night theory here. Best weather spot once again today.
Seriously though, this slate fucking blows for stacking.
CATCHER
- William Contreras
- Shea Langeliers
- Will Smith
FIRST BASE
- Alex Kiriloff
- Ryan Noda
- Rowdy Tellez
SECOND BASE
- Matt McLain
- Jose Altuve
- Ketel Marte
THIRD BASE
- Jose Ramirez … As a team the Guardians have been hitting well of late but that was all out in San Diego and Arizona. They return home and the one true must own play in my mind is Jose Ramirez.
- Rafael Devers
- Jace Peterson
SHORTSTOP
- Elly De La Cruz
- Carlos Correa
- Paul DeJong
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Seth Brown
- Jesse Winker
- Nolan Jones
- Mookie Betts
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Christian Yelich
- Byron Buxton
- Adam Duvall
- Lane Thomas
OUTFIELD – Value
- You shouldnt need value here tonight based on the Mt. Rushmore group
- Seth Brown – OF – Oakland Athletics – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Jose Ramirez – 3B – Guardians
- Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds
- Nolan Jones – OF – Rockies
- Alex Kiriloff – 1B – Twins
- Ketel Marte – 2B – Diamondbacks
- Mookie Betts – OF – Dodgers
- Will Smith – C – Dodgers
- BONUS ……………….. Jesse Double Dong Winker – OF – Brewers
TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS
Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…
- Athletics/Guardians
- Dodgers/Angels
Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.
- Mariners/Yankees
- Cardinals/Nationals
ML Targets
- Nationals
- White Sox
- Brewers
- Twins