Eight (8) games early today, five of which will start before 4pm and then of the three games at 4PM, one of them may start later.
We do NOT have site synchronicity today though, the games which are in that 4PM window are not on FanDuel and neither is the 3PM window game, this means these spots are FD only in their mid-day slate.
- Braves at Blue Jays
- Cardinals at Red Sox
- Mets at Nationals
- Rangers at Athletics
WEATHER
Mets at Nationals: This is the only real delay/PPD risk game out there today, but they have a window where they will get the games in after they wait out any rain. I expect a possible short delay and then they play.
Of note, there is a stadium which I think plays way above the publics expectation today and that is Oakland-Alameda Coliseum. We have historically profited with day games in Oakland, and it’s upper 70’s with decent humidity in Oakland today.
Everything else is seasonable. Roof probably open in Toronto, and TBD in Miami.
Holy Toledo, Batman! We have some serious decision making here with regards to some top end pitching going.
Nick Lodolo is not going today for the Reds – he is out and thus they are going with a modified opener/bullpen game.
Sandy (Alcantara)
Because of his early struggles all the Sandy algo’s are broken here which have his price down at $9,000 on DraftKings. The only thing that prevents him from throwing 9 IP today is that recent usage over his last two starts and maybe around 95 he hits that wall, but 95 could actually get him through 8 IP against Cincinnati.
Hayden Wesneski
Hayden better than Bryce Miller. He is $2400 cheaper. I love him long time today. Did I just write a Haiku? Haiku Wesneski! Getting off topic here. Just to go on a quick rant, if you want to be a guy who can start for a while in this league you need one of two things. You need a quality third pitch or you need ridiculous tree trunk sized legs like Spencer Strider and the most dominant heater in the land. Well, Bryce Miller, everyone’s darling for the Mariners right now has just one pitch but someone like Wesneski is actually going to be here for a while. Today vs the Twins he gets a lineup which is hitting just .152 over over the last week vs RHP and besides Gallo doesn’t have much power upside here today.
For that price, he’ll be a great value.
Shane McClanahan
I really feel like Shane was just dominating the Orioles a couple days ago on a random Turbo slate, but I guess the week fly by fast.
Yankee Stadium and Saturday unders, look, you paid to read the Dongers Club for these type of nuggets, did you not? Ah, of course Shane-Cortes is going to appear as an under to many, but the way the Yankees are whiffing right now I am not going to get too cute and expect Shane to suddenly get lit up here.
Rangers vs Athletics
TEX – Semien, Garcia, Jung
OAK – Ruiz, Noda, Rooker
Between Semien and Garcia, one of them for sure takes JP Sears yardwork here on a bad change-up, and I lean Adolis for DFS. These teams put up some late scoring in the 9th inning last night with Oakland delivering a walk off HR in the bottom of the 10th. Gray and Sears will get hit today, take the over, load up on a nice game stack.
You do NOT need the Texas value here, bank on their stars. The value is on the Oakland side.
Cardinals vs Red Sox
Alright, so Paul Goldschmidt hits one that is headed straight for the Citgo sign, cool, got that. Arenado is going to stay hot, cool, got it.
The stack though is Boston. They’ll keep the line moving, they should not have any 1-2-3 innings against Matz in the first 3-4 innings he survives and so the Turner-Yoshida-Kike heart of the order is the full build here.
Braves vs Blue Jays
You get a 2-run HR and you get a 2-run HR and you get a 2-run HR. It sucks that 1B is so deep on this slate because Olson/Vladdy could not look better overall today. I think we have a hard time deciding who to rank #1 between Olson and Goldy, so there’s a nice HR parlay for you to consider.
CATCHER
- Jonah Heim
- Andrew Knizner
- Francisco Alvarez
FIRST BASE
The force is strong here …
- Matt Olson
- Paul Goldschmidt
- Justin Turner
- Ryan Noda … Homer he can, yes.
SECOND BASE
- Marcus Semien
- Tommy Edman
- Andy Ibanez
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
- Josh Jung
- Jeimer Candelario
SHORTSTOP
- Enrique Hernandez … Also known as Kike
- Dansby Swanson
- JP Crawford
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Adolis Garcia
- George Springer
- Joey Gallo
- Esteury Ruiz
OUTFIELD – Value
- Brent Rooker
- Kike Hernandez – SS – Red Sox – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Matt Olson – 1B – Braves
- Adolis Garcia – OF – Rangers
- George Springer – OF – Blue Jays
- Joey Gallo – OF – Twins
- Jeimer Candelario – 3B – Nationals
- Jonah Heim – C – Rangers
- Marcus Semien – 2B – Rangers
- BONUS …. Dansby Swanson – SS – Cubs
TODAY’S TOP BET(s)
Rays/Yanks under 8
Braves/Jays over 9
Rangers/Athletics over 9
Red Sox ML