NFL · January 6, 2023

NFL Week 18 – Saturday AMBUSH

NFL WEEK 18 – SATURDAY SPECIAL

Week 18 is bad enough, now you want to play a 2 game Saturday DFS slate?  Well, ok… I get it.  So let’s just do a quick break down on the picks I am on today.

Chiefs (-9) at Raiders

Since the Chiefs technically could get the #1 seed they will go all out to try and win this one.  I didn’t initially think that they had to do such but now I see them doing that to force the NFL’s hand on this ridiculous neutral site AFC Championship game.  I hate the idea of that happening which means it’s most certainly a lock to happen now.

Mahomes to Kelce is an obvious pairing but my thinking is Mahomes is going to throw 2 TD to non Kelce guys.  Most likely Ju-Ju based on volume however I could see one of the lesser WR who are questionable getting back integrated or we see a TD going to one of the RB out of the backfield.  None the less, Mahomes is one of only 2 QB being considered today.

KC STACK OPTIONS

  • Mahomes
  • MacKinnon
  • Smith-Schuster
  • Monitor who is active at WR … Toney / Watson or even the return of Hardman are worth using
  • Kelce
  • Chiefs D/ST

Vegas Options

  • None, full fade for me.  I don’t want anything on the Raiders side.

BETS

  • Lay the 9 points with Kansas City
  • Chiefs 1st Half Spread as well
  • Take the Chiefs stack in DFS.
  • Jerrick MacKinnon over 29.5 receiving yards
  • Kansas City 37, Las Vegas 13

 

Titans at Jaguars (-6.5)

Trevor Lawrence will be the other popular QB along with both Zay Jones and Christian Kirk, which makes Marvin Jones one of my best sleeper and value WR options on the board today.   But the pivot for me on a two game slate is to load up on Travis Etienne with Lawrence lineups.  It’s not a good running spot, which is exactly why that is the correct DFS play on a 2 game slate.

Don’t sleep on the Titans offense….  Actually, sleep on the Titans offense.  It’s awful yes.  But we should see a 5+ catch game opportunity for ole man Bobby Tree’s here as they can’t just ram Henry the full game.

A game which could be low scoring is tough to pay almost a touchdown in.  So I will take the +6.5 but not feel great about it the whole way.

Jaguars Stack Options

  • Trevor Lawrence
  • Travis Etienne
  • Christian Kirk
  • Marvin Jones Jr
  • Jaguars D/ST

Titans Stack Options

  • Derrick Henry
  • Robert Woods

BETS

  • Titans +6.5
  • UNDER 40.5
  • Final Score:  Jacksonville 20, Tennessee 15
  • Travis Etienne ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN

 

DFS CORE PICKS

Patrick Mahomes

Travis Etienne

Robert Woods

Travis Kelce

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