We are starting to see more slates around 8-10 games now and not have most of the teams playing on the core days (Monday, WednesdayAn and Friday). Already have a good number of players listed out and some others still with questionable tags. This has already opened up a lot of plays and value.
NBA Dashboard is also another good source to help build lineups.
Looking at a 10-game slate starting at 7:00pm
The “Droppin Dimes,” article will go over my favorite plays for the slate. It will consist of three to five core plays along with some additional plays and some value plays. You will not always see the highest-priced players or the most obvious plays. The article will be the building blocks to help construct lineup/s.
NBA Dashboard is also another good source to help build lineups. Check it out here – DailyAmbush: NBA Dashboard
The Dashboard will provide projections, player ratings along with matchup and other statistics for both Ambush and me (under FB Model). The dashboard feeds the optimizer allowing users to create lineups using (Avg FPs, Ratings, FB Projections, FB Ratings, projected ownership and GPP score). This is a good tool to utilize, and it gives the user a lot of ways to mix it up.
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(Note: All pricing and fantasy points are based on DraftKings but can be used for all sites.)
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NOTES
Notable players listed as OUT
- Nikola Jokic-Jamal Murray gets a 16% usage bump this season for a total of 40%, Zeke Nnaji gets the second highest boost 13% boost for a total of 31% (If he starts would be a core play).
- Pascal Siakam
- Jarrett Allen- with Allen out Mitchell and Garland have the highest usage with 35 and 30 respectively. Robin Lopez gets a solid boost.
- Gordon Hayward
- Kris Middleton
Player listed as QUESTIONABLE (If/Then)
- Donovan Mitchell- Darius Garland, Cede Osman
- Tyrese Haliburton-Buddy Hield and Andrew Nembhard. Also, TJ McConnell will get more minutes. Good FPPM player.
- Wendell Carter- Mo Bamba
A few of my favorite games: Pacers and Hornets (Lack of defense, fast pace and close spread). Knicks/Nuggets and Celtics/Hawks.
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The main source of value tonight will be coming from the Dallas Mavericks with Luka listed out this afternoon. They will also be without JaVale McGee and Maxi Kleber leaving Christian Wood ss an excellent option tonight. Also, Dwight Powell is option at forward/center. I already was ok Spencer Dinwiddie before the Doncic news.The Denver Nuggets also have solid options for value with Nikol Jokic out. The Heat also bring some value tonight as well.
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CORE
Miles Turner, Indiana Pacers ($6900)
A few reasons why Turner stuck out to me today. First, the matchup. The Hornets rank in the bottom 5 defending the center position and have been getting torched. Second, Turner has been playing extremely well this year averaging 38 FPS at 1.35 FPPM. This should increase in this matchup and with 30 plus minutes I can see him exceeding 40 plus FPs with a ceiling of
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Evan Mobley, Cleveland Cavaliers ($6200)
This was a decision between Kevin Love and Evan Mobley. Love’s minutes are the one thing that concerns me with him even though he can drop 50 FPs in only 23 minutes. He has hit 40 plus in three times with 23 minutes and under. Mobley has been playing consistent minutes this season averaging 34 and averaging 31 FPs- just shy of a FPPM. This was all with Jarret Allen on the court and he had been a rebounding machine. This opens up more rebounds and a bit more usage for both Mobley and Love. If Kevin Love starts, I could see Giannis covering him and this would put Brook Lopez on Mobley where he should eat. I do believe they both play well tonight and have a like Mobley a bit more due to the minutes. I will have lineups with one or the other tonight.
Bruce Brown, Denver Nuggets ($5100)
The Nuggets will be without Nikola Jokic tonight which opens up about 32 %usage with Jamal Murray picking up the biggest chunk of that. As much as I like Murray, I do think Brown has similar upside for his price. Brown has been playing well over the past two games hitting double digit points and rebounds while adding 6 assists in each game. He has shown similar upside this ear hitting 35 or more FPS in four games. An excellent rebounder that can dish out assists as well gives him the upside tonight in this matchup. The Knicks have struggled against guards and small forwards this year ranking in the bottom 5 in all. Excellent spot for both Murray and Brown tonight as I see them both exceeding value, especially if A-Aron Gordon sits out.
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Just missed the core….(Not included in table below)
- *Christian Wood– should play more minutes tonight with the team down two other big men- crush spot vs his old team. I will most likely have him in most of my lineups as well.
- Kevin Love- would have him as a core play if I knew his minutes would around 30.
- DeAndre Jordan-if he starts and or Aaron Gordon is out would be a core play. Top ranked value play on the model.
- Jamal Murray- will be popular and for good reason 40% usage rate with Jokic off the floor.
- PJ Washington
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Lakers, Bucks and Pistons are good source of value for tonight.
(V) Value Play
Additional Plays to Consider
| PG | SG | SF | PF | C |
| SGA
Theo Maledon (V) Immanuel Quickley (V) Payton Pritchard (V) |
Andrew Nembhard (V)
Spencer Dinwiddie Josh Giddey Josh Green (V) |
Patrick Williams (V)
Jaylen Brown Terry Rozier Tim Hardaway Jr. |
Torrey Craig (V)
Jimmy Butler Aleksej Pokusevski Max Straus |
Kristaps Porzingas
Robin Lopez (V) DeWayne Dedmon
|
Dimes Play
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.- should be one of the lower owned Nuggets tonight and on the court 30 plus minutes due to his defense.
**Options to help build lineups- Take these core plays and enter into optimizer with your favorite settings (rating, FBrating, FBprojections, FunkProjections, ownership or ratings). OR use this article to help you build a lineup with some of your favorite plays. The Dashboard is also a +great tool to help build lineups- It contains a good variety of stats and projections from multiple sources.
Good Luck!