NBA · November 11, 2022

NBA DFS DROPPIN DIMES-Friday, November 11th

Well look at this…… a nice 8 game slate on a Friday! The NBA has been scheduling 12 plus games on most Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays and it is nice to see a medium size slate. Already have a fair number of players listed out for tonight with a few more listed as questionale. Keep an eye on their status and use the If/Then section below.

NBA Dashboard is also another good source to help build lineups.

Looking at a 12 -game slate starting at 7:00pm

The “Droppin Dimes,” article will go over my favorite plays for the slate. It will consist of three to five core plays along with some additional plays and some value plays. You will not always see the highest-priced players or the most obvious plays. The article will be the building blocks to help construct lineup/s.

NBA Dashboard is also another good source to help build lineups. Check it out here – DailyAmbush: NBA Dashboard

The Dashboard will provide projections, player ratings along with matchup and other statistics for both Ambush and me (under FB Model). The dashboard feeds the optimizer allowing users to create lineups using (Avg FPs, Ratings, FB Projections, FB Ratings, projected ownership and GPP score). This is a good tool to utilize, and it gives the user a lot of ways to mix it up.

[spacer height=”20px”]

(Note: All pricing and fantasy points are based on DraftKings but can be used for all sites.)

Always keep an eye on the status of players before lock, especially now. There are still a decent number of players with questionable tags.
[spacer height=”20px”]

 

**FPs= Fantasy Points, FPPM= Fantasy Points Per Minutes, STOCKS (Steals plus blocks).
[spacer height=”20px”]

[spacer height=”20px”]

NOTES

Notable players listed as OUT

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo/Jrue Holiday/Kris Middleton
  • LeBron James
  • Pascal Siakam
  • Cam Johnson
  • Malcom Brogdon
  • Mitchell Robinson
  • Precious Achiuwa

Player listed as QUESTIONABLE (If/Then)

  • Paolo Banchero- Franz Wagner
  • Chris Paul- Cameron Payne
  • Cade Cunningham- Jaden Ivory

Point guard is extremely deep tonight, especially with all the value. De’Aaron Fox and Jamal Murray are both in excellent spots and can be considered as well as the other PGs listed in the article.

[spacer height=”20px”]

CORE

Julius Randle, New York Knicks ($7900)

Over the past three games, Randle is averaging 1.43 FPPM with three consecutive 43 FPs games. He is has picked his game up some with Mitchell Robinson out and Isaiah Hartenstien playing poorly. Can’t get a better matchup than the Pistons as they rank dead last in defensive efficiency on the year.

[spacer height=”20px”]

Malik Monk, Sacramento Kings ($4500) 

A nice pickup on the off-season for the Kings. Monk has played well so far, especially as of late averaging right around 30 minutes and 35 FPs- nice value for his price of 4.5K. Kings gain about 5 possessions against the fast pacers Lakers. This will be a fast paced-high scoring game and I like a few options from each side.

[spacer height=”20px”]

Jarrett Allen, Cleveland Cavaliers ($6600)

Cavaliers head to San Francisco and play the Warriors tonight. The Warriors run at the fastest pace in the league and the Cavs gain over 10 possessions in thsi matchup. This means a lot of shots will be taken and the potential for rebounds. An area that Allen does very well ion averaging close to 12 a game with games on the mid to high teens. A good opportunity for 20 plus rebounds.

[spacer height=”20px”]
Lonnie Walker IV Pheonix Suns ($4300)
A high usage player that should get around 20 shots up tonight with James out and it looks like Anthony Davis has been downgraded to questionable (does not look like he will play).  Add in that he has been starting and playing well so far this year for the Lakers averaging 30 minutes along with 26 FPs.  Has shown a ceiling of close to 40 FPs a few times this year.  Projecting well with just James out and that should only increase if Anthony Davis does sit out. Either way he is an excellent play tonight against the Kings who rank 25th defensively and also run at a fast pace. Lots of shots and opportunities for both sides tonight.
[spacer height=”20px”]
Jaden Ivey, Detroit Pistons ($5700)
No Cunningham tonight equals more usage for players like Ivey. Already playing extremely well this year and over the last two games (45 in both). Expecting a big game form Ivey tonight who can contribute in all three offensive categories.

[spacer height=”20px”]


Just missed the core….(Not included in table below)

  • Fred VanVleet
  • Javon Carter
  • Cameron Payne
  • Derrick White– very close to a core play. Minutes are a slight concern. If he was to play 25 plus minutes=crush value.
  • Isaiah Stewart

[spacer height=”20px”]

Lakers, Bucks and Pistons are good source of value for tonight.

(V) Value Play

Additional Plays to Consider

PG SG SF PF C
Darius Garland

Jalen Brunson

Russell Westbrook

Corey Joseph (V)

Patrick Beverly

Grayson Allen

Austin Reaves

Lonnie Walker

Desmond Bane

Saddiq Bey

Scottie Barnes

Bobby Portis

K-LOVE

Jason Tatum

 

Domantas Sabonis

Brook Lopez

Christian Koloko (V)

Charles Bassey (V)

[spacer height=”20px”]

Dimes Play

Otto Porter Jr.- playing more minutes as of late and gets an elite matchup. Should be low owned with potential of 7-8 time value tonight. 

**Options to help build lineups- Take these core plays and enter into optimizer with your favorite settings (rating, FBrating, FBprojections, FunkProjections, ownership or ratings). OR use this article to help you build a lineup with some of your favorite plays. The Dashboard is also a +great tool to help build lineups- It contains a good variety of stats and projections from multiple sources.

Good Luck!

← More NBA articles