Only nine games have graced us on this Wednesday mid week MLB DFS slate, which is just fine although we have lots of one off guys who are resting tonight. Devers, Riley, Adames to name a few as of now.
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WEATHER
Nationals at Orioles – This has high PPD risk associated with it. Storms could be ugly and bring a ton of rain plus they can easily make this one up later in the year.
Cubs at Pirates – Storms also possible although unlikely to disrupt the game.
Giants & Braves – Once again a high Dew Point, warm temps, humid, etc.
Good amount of warmth everywhere and roof likely open in Milwaukee.
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SHOHEI OHTANI
Some will say that the Royals do not strike out a ton and they are “hot”. Last I checked they are still the Royals and Ohtani is the type of guy who can get 8-10 strikeouts against them. He pitches well at home and is going to carve up KC.
PAUL BLACKBURN
I think Blackburn … no, I know Blackburn is the better pitcher in this game but I can assure you somewhere there is someone touting George Kirby. Kirby has yet to demonstrate two things. One, he doesn’t have a third pitch that is good enough (bad Change Up) and two his only hope is being able to command his Fastball. Two things that are red flags for a chalky value pitcher in my mind.
So we go over to the better guy in Blackburn who’s got an extremely good breaking ball and Seattle’s been one of the highest K% teams vs curves. He is close to Ohtani in terms pure #1 SP’s tonight.
DANIEL LYNCH
Right back to the Lefties against Angels as Lynch is the highest rated DCPA strikeout pitcher on the slate. Unfortunately when he misses down tonight Trout will get back on the HR sheet, but otherwise this is a 6 inning outing from Lynch with 8 strikeout potential. He’s tonights version of RIch Hill where I’ll be playing the K prop even if I wind up not having him as a main lineup pitcher tonight.
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Other guys I don’t mind…
High Upside, High Risk:
Carlos Rodon – Atlanta is a HIGH strikeout team, he’s just gotta avoid the long innings. The Braves are resting Riley tonight which was a big bat I liked for them, so Rodon should manage to be just okay.
Low Upside, Low Risk:
Michael Wacha
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CARDINALS (& Brewers)
Goldy, Arenado, Carlson … Yelich, Tellez, Peterson
The roof is expected open to start the game in Milwaukee. A major boost for the hitters and a tough scene for the BvP crowd when Nolan/Goldy go bananas tonight.
I really think we get a high scoring game here today with these two division rivals and so we’re all in on this spot.
GIANTS
Joc, Belt, Yaz, Estrada
I can’t ignore how hot it is in Atlanta today and that Charlie Morton has been showing that he should have just retired in the off-season. Easy game to target for HR’s tonight.
CUBS
Ortega, Contreras, Happ
Do my eyes deceive me or could that be Jarred Eickhoff pitching for the Pirates tonight? Well if my middle name isn’t Ian Happ, then call me Barbara Streisand because the Ducks are gonna be on the pond and Eickhoff is delivering the Sauce.
TWINS
Buxton, Correa, Kepler, Arraez
The Guardians have an ELITE bullpen but had to use their main guys last night so there’s some potential for a late inning homer if the Twins can Ambush McKenzie early.
He gives up lots of hard contact/HR to RHB and his best strikeout chances also happen to be the Twins best hitters.
Don’t forget about Max Kepler.
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Today’s BOOST+ Players
Ian Happ
Jose Ramirez
Nolan Arenado
Jack Suwinski
Danigel Vogelbach
Dylan Carlson
Maikel Franco
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CATCHER
- Willson Contreras
- Gary Sanchez
- PUNT
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FIRST BASE
- Paul Goldschmidt
- Daniel Vogelbach
- Brandon Belt
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SECOND BASE
- Luis Arraez … Won’t give you power but he will give you 3-4 with 2 runs scored
- Richie Martin
- Thairo Estrada
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THIRD BASE
Both Devers and Riley are out tonight, which really drops the top heavy aspect of this position here today and Franco could get rained out. I like Arenado more than Jose Ramirez tonight by a wide margin among the pay up guys.
- Nolan Arenado
- Maikel Franco
- Jace Peterson
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SHORTSTOP
- Oneil Cruz – Wow. Massive price increase. All the way up to … $2700!
- Carlos Correa
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa
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OUTFIELD – MT RUSHMORE
- Ian Happ
- Mike Yasztremski
- Joc Pederson
- Max Kepler
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OUTFIELD – Tier 2
The one off stud tier.
- Mike Trout
- JD Martinez
- Byron Buxton
- Christian Yelich
- Aaron Judge
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OUTFIELD – Value
- Dylan Carlson
- Seth Brown
- Jack Suwinski
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The Dongers Club
- Ian Happ – OF – Cubs – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Mike Yaszremski – OF – Giants
- Max Kepler – OF – Twins
- Carlos Correa – SS – Twins
- Nolan Arenado – 3B – Cardinals
- Paul Goldschmidt – 1B – Cardinals
- Richie Martin – 2B/SS – Orioles
- Nobody – C
- BONUS ……………. Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers
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CORE PLAYS
Cards (Goldy, Arenado, Carlson)
Brewers (Yelich)
Twins (Correa)
Cubs (Happ)
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BETTING PLAYS
Red Sox ML
Cubs ML
Yankees ML
Twins ML
Cards/Brewers OVER 9
Royals/Angels UNDER 9
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