We have a fine 7 game slate tonight as one additional game (Hurricanes-Flyers) has been PPD since the slate was posted by both sites. On the menu tonight includes just one team on B2B in Colorado.
Today’s pricing and slate configuration also sets up such that we are finding a balance between two line stacks together or a 3 man Star & 3 value pairing from a one off perspective.
I don’t think you are forcing in a stack of any of the high priced lines, but there’s lots of good players in ideal spots, so I am leaning the one off approach today.
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CENTERS
I am always a mark for Dylan Larkin and Brayden Point, both have very good match-ups tonight and Point against the lowly Sabres will look to continue a streak of points in three straight riding as he gets another game with his pal Nikita Kucherov.
Barkov is a must if you are stacking as that is the top stack on the slate IMO.
- Aleksander Barkov – 7.1k
- Brayden Point – 7.3k
- Dylan Larkin – 7.5k
- Boone Jenner – 5.5k
- Ryan Getzlaf – 5.7k
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WINGS
There’s two studs tonight and I prefer both over the stud centers (AM34, MacKinnon, Barkov) if you are forcing in an extra pay up player. Patty Kane has averaged 24 fppg in his last 8 meetings with the Blue Jackets who only win at home when Elvis is in goal and Elvis has left the building my friends.
- Patrick Kane – 7.0k
- Nikita Kucherov – 6.8k
Value Tier
This is one spot where there is very strong value. Brock Boeser is someone that the model really likes at his price point today and the change in coaches had helped him out quite a bit before the Canucks had a long lay off which included him being off for COVID-19. Prior to that break he had points in 6 of 7 games and for sub 4k is a fine value play vs Florida who has been struggling vs RW over the past month.
- Brock Boesser – 3.7k
- Carter Verhaeghe – 4.3k
- Patrik Laine – 5.3k
- Ondrej Palat – 4.9k
- Evgenii Dadanov – 3.4k
- Jeff Skinner – 4.1k
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DEFENSE
One of these days I will get Erik Karlsson right, maybe tonight against a team he knows well from his Ottawa days. The Wings rank 31st in the league over the last month in points allowed to defenseman.
Right below them are the Buffalo Sabres, so while Victor Hedman at 7,000 is enticing do not be afraid to take a gamble on Mikhail Sergachev for the Lightning – he will see good ice time – including PP2 time.
- Seth Jones – 6.6k – A little return/revenge narrative here
- Erik Karlsson – 5.4k
- Mikhail Sergachev – 3.9k
- Mattias Ekholm – 3.5k
- Zach Werenski – 6.2k
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LINE LOCK OF THE NIGHT
Florida Panthers PP1
Aleksander Barkov, Carter Verhaeghe, Sam Reinhart, Aaron Ekblad
- Include Brock Boeser from Vancouver for game stack
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SECONDARY STACKS
Chicago Blackhawks
Jonathan Toews, Alex DeBrincat, Patrick Kane, Seth Jones
- Include Boone Jenner from Columbus for game stack
San Jose Sharks
Tomas Hertl, Timo Meier, Brent Burns (or) Erik Karlsson
- Include Dylan Larkin from Detroit for game stack
Tampa Bay Lightning
Brayden Point, Ondrej Palat, Nikita Kucherov, Mikhail Sergachev
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Anthony Stolarz – Anaheim
Our shots faced predictor has him around 34.4 tonight which is fairly strong and a lot of that is due to the Penguins last four games (31-38-41-33 SOG) and with a 93%+ save rate on the season plus being at home and 7400 we have a very good value option with Stolarz.
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Slap Shots …
LINE LOCK OF THE NIGHT: Barkov – Verhaghe – Reinhart (FLA)
FAVORITE ONE OFF FORWARD: Patrick Kane (CHI)
FAVORITE ONE OFF VALUE: Brock Boeser (VAN)
FAVORITE ONE OFF DEFENSEMAN: Erik Karlsson (SJ)
CORE ONE OFFS:
- Barkov
- Verhaghe
- Kane
- Boeser
TOP BETS:
- Blackhawks/Blue Jackets OVER 5.5
- Penguins/Ducks UNDER 5.5
- Patrick Kane Anytime Goal