The Dongers Club – June 9th

There is a heavy Turbo/6PM slate and I hate it because we drop down to a 9 game MAIN slate with lots of good action in the Turbo window.  Thus we miss out on me being able to tout Logan Gilbert and Paul Skenes.  I know you are all so greatly disappointed…   TURBO SLATE PICKS SP Rankings Max Meyer Payton Tolle / Nick Martinez Eric Lauer   Offense/Stacks Rankings Yankees (Lefties) Orioles/Mariners Dodgers (Lefties) Tigers   MAIN SLATE WEATHER All clear of PPD risk. From a ballpark/weather standpoint you have very warm and wind out to RF in Coors to go along with another Vegas game and extreme heat in Kauffman Stadium.   Good night to consider two lineups – which is partially driven by the hitting chalk but also because I think you take a gamble big time on SP2 options today.  For the aces, these are the winners… Chase Burns (DK: $10,500) – Lineup #1 Now this is a massive arm-talent shift for the Padres to have to swap from Abbott to the hard-throwing RH Burns. San Diego is 23rd in SLG against RH sliders (and 27th in wOBA against them) while sitting dead last in the majors in SLG vs RHP (.275). They’ve got no ability to turn on anything with power, and add in Burns’ arm (our model has him at a 25.7% strikeout rate, projecting ~9 K) and we’ve got an easy 25+ spot. Zack Wheeler (DK: $10,700) – Lineup #2 Yeah, this is a risky pitching slate today. I’m once again going to pick on Toronto and hope the Phillies pitchers can deliver at a high price. Sánchez got there with the whiffs last night & Wheeler should tonight as well.  5 HR in his last two games is a real concern, so don’t expect him to be perfect – we need him to not walk guys and then give up 2-run bombs. Wheeler is my pivot off Burns if you slide down for a second lineup.   SP2:  THIS IS A JOSE URENA SLATE!!!!!! For those who do not know, a time long long long ago, I won a $1500 ticket on FanDuel to one of their big contests.  Well, my dumb ass said, lets get sneaky on this random Tuesday slate with lots of offense projected and take this Jose Urena fella, he looks like he could have some talent.  No…...

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