Breaking news. FanDuel got it right today. Not only did they do the early slate correctly (5 games), but they merged the two Turbo time window games into the MAIN slate tonight as their MAIN locks at 6:45. DraftKings meanwhile is the incompetent ones with no Mariners/Red Sox and no Orioles/Nationals included — despite the “juiced ball” game in Wrigley being on the table.
For tonights slate, I feel very contrarian in terms of the offensive spots I will be attacking. You have been warned. Either ride the contrarian ship or go with the chalk.
WEATHER
All clear
LOGAN WEBB (DK: $10k, FD: $10.8k)
Webb has gotten 10+ swinging strikes in each of his last four games as he is having an excellent start to the 2025 campaign. He’s one of the top 5 pitchers right now in Baseball and we should treat him as such when at home in a night game. San Francisco will bounce back tonight.
MICHAEL LORENZEN (DK: $7300 FD $8200)
The battle of average versus bad, and Lorenzen is the average side. If Colorado wants to roll out all those lefties tonight then that’ll play just fine for Lorenzen. I wouldn’t be shocked if he put it together and was 6 IP strong with 0 ER allowed because that’s how shitty Colorado is. And yes, he should be chalky.
KUMAR ROCKER (DK: $6900, FD: $7900)
Roll the dice in a hitters park against an offense which is sneaky good and has the new shiny toy that probably homers off him. Throw all that out the window and recognize that Rocker’s got good command of late to pair with his high strikeout potential. He’s a considerable option to pivot off Lorenzen.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- I don’t mind JP Sears (lefties vs Rangers are still doing good)
- Freddy Peralta is alright as an SP2 with Logan Webb, but only in a game stack scenario. He won’t out do Webb.
- I warned you about pitchers against the Pirates this week. No Kochanowicz!
CUBS
Ian Happ, Seiya Suzuki, Nico Hoerner
I am really starting to question if the balls in Wrigley are the same as everywhere else. Holy cow, the weather hasn’t mattered, they’re just raking left and right and this is looking like a bullpen game for the Dodgers.
WHITE SOX
Benintendi, Robert, Edgar “Yo” Quero Taco Bell
Mr. Benintendi will hit his Target Field homer tonight + Luis Robert is aligned for a good game against Festa.
ROYALS
Witt, Pasquantino, Biggio
Great value on the Royals and Marquez coming off a horrific start should be better, but not one of his once a month great Marquez starts. KC puts it in play tonight and Pasquantino FINALLY has a big RBI knock.
PIRATES
Oneil Cruz, Bryan Reynolds, Emmanuel Valdez
Gimme more Pirates love in Anaheim. It’s a little chilly there but not a big concern. Koch hasn’t gone past the 5th inning & the Angels bullpen is > 4.3 ERA over the last 10 days.
CATCHER
- Ryan Jeffers
- Joey Bart
- Salvador Perez
FIRST BASE
- Vinnie Pasquantino
- Yandy Diaz
- Nick Kurtz
- Andrew Vaughn
SECOND BASE
- Nico Hoerner
- Andres Gimenez
- Marcus Semien
THIRD BASE
- Miguel Vargas
- Junior Caminero
- Isaac Paredes
- Rafael Devers – FD
SHORTSTOP
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Dansby Swanson
- Gunnar Henderson – FD
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Andrew Benintendi
- Seiya Suzuki
- Bryan Reynolds
- Luis Robert Jr.
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Cavan Biggio
- Pete Crow Armstrong
- Yordan Alvarez
- Anthony Santander
- Andrew Benintendi – OF – Chicago White Sox – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Bryan Reynolds – OF – Pirates
- Vinnie Pasquantino – 1B – Royals
- Nico Hoerner – 2B – Cubs
- Junior Caminero – 3B – Rays
- Ryan Jeffers – C – Twins
- Gunnar Henderson – SS – Orioles
- Luis Robert JR – OF – White Sox
- BONUS … Mike Trout – OF – Angels
TOP BETS
Pirates ML
White Sox ML
Okay, that’s enough BETS touting for tonight….
TOP FANDUEL ONLY PLAYS
Rafael Devers, Gunnar Henderson, Orioles/Nats game stack.