We are into April but not fully into a full week of the MLB season and we have a full Tuesday night with just two games on the 6:40 Senior Citizens slate — which includes the Cincinnati and Miami home games.
WEATHER
All clear
LOGAN GILBERT (DK: $9000, FD: $10.6K)
An elite pitcher (yes, he is elite) with his comfortable home environment and the price is sitting at only $9000? Really questionable effort here by DraftKings as we get an 11-game slate that’s gonna have what should be a high owned late night hammer SP. There’ll be 2 or 3 games this season when Gilbert has his 2 or 3 HR game while also walking a few. Tonight, is not that night.
CASEY MIZE (DK: $7500, FD: $7800)
This is risk avoidance for me. Back to picking on this stadium for good pitching when the good pitching warrants it.
SIMEON WOODS-RICHARDSON (DK: $7800, FD: $8600)
I don’t expect to be writing this guy up much this season — but they need some length out of him and it’s cold in a night game on the South Side. I don’t see the Twins necessarily winning again, but we’re going to buy into him not being the reason for their failures today.
OTHER PITCHING CONSIDERATIONS / NOTES
- Things are not going to magically get better tonight for the Twins, but I see no reason to really push the limits with Shane Smith making his debut. We do still have rules here and no pitchers making debuts usually never fails us.
DBACKS
Marte – Gurriel – Suarez – Naylor
They grade out fantastic because of how the park is playing & more so because Warren has limited (and not great) data splits. Plus Arizona’s always been an ideal team for me when they’re on the road in a smaller park because they can finally show off HR power instead of just being gap and speed guys.
ROYALS / BREWERS
India – Pasquantino || Turang – Yelich – Contreras
Until the Milwaukee pitching staff gets it right or rolls out someone we can trust we should continue to look to exploit them — and in their park when the roof is closed its a nice hitters park. KC stack really is centered around India/Pasquantino today, it was the value bottom guys yesterday who were the difference makers but those two are the key cores with the usual if you can afford them Witt/Salvy plays. I expect Lorenzen to give up 3 runs today, so Milwaukee is a contrarian build.
MINI STACKS
It’s a great mini stack (2 guys and move on) kinda night. Here’s some combo’s I love …
- Blue Jays: Vladdy and Santander. If we’re ranking where I start tonight for you HR/SGP parlay lovers, this is the spot.
- Giants: Adames and J.H. Lee
- Nationals: Abrams and Wood — Right back to the well
CATCHER
- Gabriel Moreno
- William Contreras
- Ivan Herrera
- Will Smith
FIRST BASE
Loaded/Stacked position today, with lots of HR upside. Play 2 here on FD.
- Vlad Guerrero Jr.
- Christian Walker
- Josh Naylor
- Vinnie Pasquantino
SECOND BASE
- Brice Turang
- Maxwell P Muncy (ATH)
- Jonathan Aranda
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
- Matt Chapman
- Eugenio Suarez
SHORTSTOP
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- CJ Abrams
- Willy Adames
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Anthony Santander
- Jung Hoo Lee
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
- Brendan Donovan
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Yordan Alvarez
- MJ Melendez
- Jonathan India – 2B is good tonight, so use him here.
- Vlad Guerrero Jr – 1B – Blue Jays – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Anthony Santander – OF – Blue Jays
- Willy Adames – SS – Giants
- Jung Ho Lee – OF – Giants
- Brice Turang – 2B – Brewers
- Will Smith – C – Dodgers
- Yordan Alvarez – OF – Astros
- Nolan Arenado – 3B – Cardinals
- BONUS ….. Eugenio Suarez – 3B – Diamondbacks
TOP BETS
Royals / Brewers OVER 8.5
Texas Rangers ML (Turbo Slate)
White Sox ML … Lemme see how much we can push our luck here.