I have to admit, part of me is actually quite impressed with the Tanner Houck stat line last night. I mean, any old bad pitching outing can result in a -3 or a 2 or something really bad. But going -21? Impressive young man…
WEATHER
Mid-April type windy and comfortable but chilly with NO RAIN which is nice.
Roof in Texas should be open and this is by far the best weather spot.
UPDATE: Very Windy. Baltimore, New York likely see the biggest wind boosts. Slight downgrade on Charlie Morton for me tonight (oh, hey, you just started reading. Yeah, we like Morton)
KEVIN GAUSMAN (DK: $8500, FD: $9100)
Every NFL season there is that one team who comes out and starts 3-0 or 2-0 and you see all this hype around how impressive their early games are which causes people to think that they could not only make the playoffs but be some serious contender despite having a Quarterback like, I dunno, Derek Carr, under center. Well, my friends, we have the Toronto Blue Jays sitting at a game above .500 and people think this team wont finish last in the AL East still? Here’s how it plays out. They do good in April and early May and then they die off. This includes Mr. Kevin Gausman who is coming off a dominant start vs Boston — a team swinging too much — and now gets another team who at times swings way too much in the Atlanta Braves. I see Gausman continuing a hot start and then having some bad shoulder injury mid May. Ride him now.
JEFFREY SPRINGS (DK: $8200, FD: $9400)
The Athletics pitchers have to be thrilled to get out of Sacramento. Going into the cold and not too windy South Side is a bad pivot for the hitters, but nice for their arms. A concern for Springs is that he has a high walk rate to RHH and the White Sox likely have nothing but RHH to roll out today, that limits his “30” point potential like he had in his first start — but 6 innings, limited damage and a high whiff rate is possible here too.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- Charlie Morton – If you want cheap we are on the Good side of Chuck tonight. Not a terrible play, but that wind is possibly a big risk.
- Tylor Megill is my #3
- Landon Knack … If you are wanting to use a guy who has not made it out of the third inning simply for facing a Single-A level offense right now then I would ask why are you bothering to play DFS? He is a terrible play and a terrible pitcher. Sure, the Rockies might not get a hit off him and he might get extended through 4 innings. I also might
BREWERS
Jack Flaherty has the yips in Milwaukee. I dont know if its the Brats, the Beers, the Slide or Bernie, but the guy just shits himself every year when he pitches here. We win it all tonight behind a Brewers 12+ spot.
ANGELS/RANGERS
One of Kikuchi’s next two starts (tonight or Sunday vs the Giants) is going to result in a BAD Kikuchi outing. Im gonna bank on it being today and honestly there’s NO data that suggests I should be right. The Rangers cannot hit LHP very well and strikeout a good amount – but Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia both have multi HR vs Kikuchi while Kevin Pillar and Jake Burger should do well too.
For the Angels, uh, it’s kinda clear. Tyler Mahle, who has some reverse splits, with Patrick Corbin coming in after & the roof is open. The Angels better roll out as many RHH as they can tonight and just enjoy the 5 HR game.
CATCHER
- Kyle Higashioka
- Logan O’Hoppe
- Salvador Perez
FIRST BASE
- Triston Casas
- Michael Busch … You can’t be more locked in than he has been the last two nights
- Jake Burger
SECOND BASE
- Marcus Semien
- Brice Turang
- Kyren Paris
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
- Luis Rengifo … PSA- If you pronounce the “G” as a “G”, you are not allowed to play him. If you pronounce it as an “H/J” then you are good to go. Karma. Do the man right. Its Ren”HEEE”Fooo and he’s homering.
- Josh Jung
SHORTSTOP
- Corey Seager
- ADD: Trevor Story — Paired with Casas…
- Joseph Ortiz
- Anthony Volpe
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Mike Trout
- Adolis Garcia
- Christian Yelich
- Cody Bellinger
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Riley Greene
- Kevin Pillar
- Jorge Soler / Taylor Ward
- Christian Yelich – OF – Milwaukee Brewers – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Marcus Semien – 2B – Rangers
- Adolis Garcia – OF – Rangers
- Luis Rengifo – 3B – L.A. Angels
- Salvador Perez – C – Royals
- Triston Casas – 1B – Red Sox
- Anthony Volpe – SS – Yankees
- Kyle Tucker – OF – Cubs
- BONUS …. Mike Trout – OF – Angels
TOP BETS
Red Sox ML
Angels/Rangers OVER 8.5
ROCKIES ML
Blue Jays ML