The Dongers Club – April 9th

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Eleven (11) games today, following the two early, and two turbo pairings.  A great balance on this full Tuesday post the CBB National Championship game.  While the Masters takes off this week and NBA/NHL playoffs begin, it’s truly MLB season now that we had a Julio Teheran appearance and today, that same team who used Julio is going to roll out Adrian Houser.  Shit… They won too! We continue to see pitchers dropping with elbow injuries and my “something doesn’t smell right” senses are going off.  Specifically today Nick Pivetta and Josiah Gray are going on the IL which means Gray himself is scratched tonight – so congrats to the Giants on the ass whooping they will give Joan Adon instead.  I’ll reserve my rant on these elbow injuries for now, but again, I’m not necessarily buying that what we are hearing is what is actually happening. WEATHER No PPD risks   TYLER GLASNOW (DK: $10.1k, FD: $10k) … Elite match-up as long as his arm does not fall off.  Hey-ooo.  Pay it and move on IMO. NATE EOVALDI (DK: $8800, FD: $9500) … This definitely feels like a pay up pitching slate and I suspect that someone like Nate Eovaldi for 8800 on DK is going to be a chalky play.  Yeah, he has a projected 40% strikeout rate here and a K prop of 7.5 with a SO prediction of 9.2.   Really hard to ignore those kind of numbers.  My model is something I use as a guide and a way to quickly analyze the slate.  Eovaldi being the 10th ranked SP is concerning to me, but I really don’t see any reason to avoid that strikeout upside.  If the Athletics go off, we chalk this one up to my brain with lots of coffee (when I do the coding) being smarter than my brain without lots of coffee (me doing this article right now). ZACK WHEELER (DK: $9600, FD: $10.6k) … A big park for Wheeler and a cold Cardinals lineup.  He won’t have the strikeouts Nate and Tyler will have, but he might go longer into the game (7 innings) and should win. KYLE HARRISON (DK: $7600, FD: $7900) … If dumpster diving for value tonight you will be thin in your selections.  This is more of a FanDuel play to go cheaper but I wouldn’t expect more than 5 2/3 IP from Harrison, which reduces…...

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