An odd setup here on Sunday where as of now DraftKings has not posted a normal afternoon slate, but instead made a 5 game Turbo slate that includes one of the MAIN slate games as well. We have no Coors Field on the MAIN slate for either site and my friends, we have — Site Synchronicity!
WEATHER
- CLE @ MIN: This one could be a PPD risk given that it is a divisional game
- LAD @ CHC: They can wait out the weather and get this game in.
MY GUYS TODAY
JACK FLAHERTY (DK: 8900, FD: $9700) … Jack feels like the guy we look at today and cannot find too much to nitpick besides his prior history. The recent history is looking better though, pitching for the Tigers and being able to feast upon a bad White Sox lineup in his first start & now the Athletics in his second doesnt hurt. Expect another 30%+ CSW rate today which will put him in line for another 20+ DraftKings score. The run support will be there as well.
CHRISTOPHER SANCHEZ (DK: 7600, FD: $8300) … The Nationals, while having a couple okay bats, are still pathetic right now. Abrams is questionable here, Ruiz is ice cold, Meneses is ice cold and they might still roll out Winker/Gallo in LvL match-ups, which isn’t ideal against Sanchez.
THE SUNDAY SLEEPER
None. There’s no point today with any of the so called ‘sneaky’ guys, as ownership should be spread out and we’re not really needing to be fading much of anything anyways. If you wanted someone who is going to out perform expectations it would be Marco Gonzales — but … why subject yourself to that?
OTHER THOUGHTS
Sean Manaea is what I would consider the primary ‘Fade’ guy who might grade well based on his first start. Avoid in Cincinnati. I do not mind MacKenzie Gore, Chris Sale, Kyle Gibson, Alec Marsh and even Shota Imanaga — but I cannot justify any of them above Flaherty and Sanchez, so why change lanes on the highway if we don’t need too as my father would say. Sorry for being boring here, but the meal has been served, eat it.
With 11 games today we have some EXTREMELY high ratings on the model which was somewhat interesting to me and the more analysis I do on the pitching matchups here I think you are safe building around one core stack and then fitting in the primary one offs on this slate.
- Seattle Mariners (Polanco, Garver/Raleigh, Haniger, Canzone) … Really good value heart of the order on Seattle and one of their catchers is going yard-work today, maybe both.
- Detroit Tigers (Meadows, Greene, Torkelson, Carpenter) … Riley Greene snaps a big hit today, triple, double, homer, it’s going to be an RBI producer and he has a huge game IMO. I trusted Joe Boyle at home and he just walked the entire lineup, today on the road in Detroit he’ll try to be more effective in the zone but the velocity will result in lots of balls in the gaps. Love the Tigers.
Couple games I like for runs, but don’t love for stacking just because it’s spread out throughout the lineup(s)…
- Mets/Reds
- Marlins/Cardinals
Games I am not heavy on
- Diamondbacks/Braves
- White Sox/Royals
CATCHER
- Cal Raleigh … Colin Rea had a stretch last season where he gave up a HR in 8 straight games, often times 2 of them. He does decent on avoiding barrels, but really is just a throw the kitchen sink and hope they don’t figure me out kinda guy. Catchers will figure him out, so it’s Raleigh or Garver going yard with Raleigh being my pick.
- Francisco Alvarez
- Freddy Fermin
FIRST BASE
- Matt Olson
- Pete Alonso
- Rowdy Tellez
SECOND BASE
There isn’t anything bad about 2B today, but it’s also not very flashy. Nice spot to be contrarian.
- Jorge Polanco … One of my favorite under the radar off-season moves, he is settling in very nicely for Seattle. He’s the key to them having good offensive games.
- Luis Arraez … Paying 4700 for Arraez when he is doing just okay feels really stupid. But Kyle Gibson is a perfect profile for him & so I would be shocked if he didn’t have a 3+ hit day today.
- Colt Keith
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
- Eugenio Suarez
- Oswaldo Cabrera
SHORTSTOP
- Trea Turner … Love Turner today. He see’s the ball extremely well off Gore.
- JP Crawford
- ONeil Cruz
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
Lot’s of value in the OF today, but these are your “studs” worth paying up for.
- Riley Greene
- Juan Soto
- Bryan Reynolds
- Christian Yelich
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Parker Meadows
- Mitch Haniger
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.
OUTFIELD – Value
What more do you need than Jesus and a Calzone for OF value my friends?
- Jesus Sanchez
- Dominic Canzone
- Cal Raleigh – C – Seattle Mariners – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Matt Olson – 1B – Braves
- Riley Greene – OF – Tigers
- Juan Soto – OF – Yankees
- Nolan Arenado – 3B – Cardinals
- Trea Turner – SS – Nationals
- Oswaldo Cabrera – 2B – Yankees
- Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers
- BONUS … Jazz Chisholm – OF – Marlins
TOP BETS
- Diamondbacks/Braves Under 9
- Mariners/Brewers OVER 9
- Mariners ML
Sunday Props Parlay’s….
Hitters …
- Luis Arraez over 1.5 hits
- Matt Olson over 1.5 total bases
- Riley Greene over 1.5 Hits+Rbi+Runs
- Cal Raleigh over 1.5 Hits+Rbi+Runs
- Trea Turner over 1.5 total bases
Pitchers …
- Sean Manaea under 6.5 strikeouts
- Bowden Francis under 5.5 strikeouts
- Christopher Sanchez over 4.5 strikeouts