MLB · April 17, 2024

The Dongers Club – April 17th

Shockingly, not only do we have a big 11 game slate today on DraftKings, we have it on FanDuel as well.  These both include Royals @ White Sox – Game 1.

A lot of late changes here, so that’s why the article is coming out close to lock.  We have Albert Suarez starting for the Orioles, he’s been in Japan of late, so Konnichiwa to him.  Bryse Wilson, not to be confused with Brian, is starting for the Brewers, which really makes me like San Diego — and hey, it’s the Paul Blackburn regression game… Maybe?

WEATHER

Rangers at Tigers – Rain should come in during the game, but they can probably play through it long enough to get this one in.  It’s Dunning vs Skubal, so there is definitely interest in the pitching and taking a closer look at radar right before lock.  If it starts in a delay you might consider fading it entirely.

Roof closed in Arizona

 

Pitching grades very unique on this big afternoon/all-day slate.  There’s A LOT of arms who look really clean but many of them have a low strikeout ceiling today.  In other words, no long list of Jared Jones’ of the world out there today.

  1. Brady Singer (DK: $9200, FD: $10.5k) … No Singing in the rain issues today.  Point, click, submit.
  2. Pablo Lopez (DK: $8800, FD: $8600) … The Orioles are a power house lineup right now and a few key guys (Mountcastle, Adley, Holliday) haven’t fully turned it on yet.  They’re smashing on the Turbo slates but are back in our Main slate lives today — so go against them?  Yes.  Lopez is a veteran, and an ace, and had a couple unlucky starts vs teams who know him very well in the division.  I wouldn’t be shocked to see a 7 inning out of nowhere < 5% owned ace start from Lopez this afternoon.
  3. Brandon Pfaadt (DK: $7500, FD: $7700) … Roof closed and get away game for the road Cubs.  We saw Hunter Brown actually turn the corner last night and Pfaadt is in a very similar situation in his career path.  Today would be the most logical time for him to roll out a 6 inning clean start — just limited strikeout upside.
  4. Steven Matz (DK: $6700) … Literally everything I wrote above is a picture of Matz vs Oakland today.  Holy boring but clean.

Other Pitching Notes

  • For other (alternative) value options besides Matz the one guy to give some love too is Michael King ($7000 on DK) as an SP2.
  • Gausman is gonna pitch much better, not good enough.
  • Fried will pitch decent, not good enough.  In fact, the way things are going for Atlanta right now, I wouldn’t be shocked if he got hurt too

 

Even though we have 22 teams to pick from in DAY GAMES, this is a fairly light hitting slate and one where it’s hard to see a clear and obvious stack to build around.  Well, there is the Dodgers obviously, but thats pricey and a given.

Here’s the ones I would back the most.

  1. DODGERS … (Muncy, Smith, Ohtani)
  2. ROYALS … (Witt, Pasquantino, Melendez, Frazier) … Pick on the kid pitcher
  3. REDS / MARINERS … (Encarnacion-Strand, Elly DLC … J-Rod, France, Haniger)
  4. PADRES … Bogaerts, Tatis, Merrill

 

 

CATCHER

  1. Travis d’Arnaud … Let’s try this again, shall we?
  2. Will Smith
  3. Mitch Garver

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Shohei Ohtani
  2. Vinnie Pasquantino
  3. Christian Encarnacion-Strand
  4. Ty France

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Nolan Gorman
  2. Jonathan India
  3. Colt Keith
  4. Find any value you want and roll the dice.

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Max Muncy
  2. Maikel Garcia
  3. Eugenio Suarez

 

SHORTSTOP

I wish we could just roster 3 shortstops today instead of 2B and 3B….  Very elite spot if you also include Mookie.

  1. Bobby Witt Jr.
  2. Oneil Cruz
  3. Francisco Lindor
  4. Willy Adames

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Julio Rodriguez
  2. Bryan Reynolds
  3. Jackson Merrill
  4. Byron Buxton

 

  1. Max Muncy – 3B – Dodgers – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Byron Buxton – OF – Twins
  3. Bobby Witt Jr – SS – Royals
  4. Travis d’Arnaud – C – Braves
  5. Christian Encarnacion-Strand – 1B – Reds
  6. Jackson Merrill – OF – Padres

 

 

TOP BETS

Reds ML

Padres ML

Cubs/D’Backs under 9

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