NHL · January 16, 2024

The Slapshot – Jan 16th

Fairly large but not too big Tuesday night slate today with eight games and a nice balance of team skill level.

OILERS

McDavid – Hyman – Nugent-Hopkins

Easily the best game on the slate and the way Toronto is giving up goals of late (13 over their last 3) we should be looking to ride that wave with the fast moving Oilers.

CAPITALS

Strome – Pacioretty – Oshie

Washington appears back to their low scoring ways but they have also had some tough defensive draws of late, so seeing the Ducks in town will likely give them a necessary boost.  Ovi is expected out again, which just makes their top line even more chalky as a value pick.

STARS

Hintz – Pavelski – Robertson

Much like the Canucks on Monday losing in Columbus, the Kings come in ending up a long road trip to start January, having played five straight on the road and struggling losing the first four before a big win in Carolina yesterday 5-2.  Now on a B2B in Dallas before going home I think they’ll keep it close but fail to shut down the Stars top line all game.

JETS

Lowry – Vilardi – Ehlers – Morrissey

Winnipeg is holding on to the lead in the Western Division, but is going to fall back to earth and without Scheifele and Connor they’re definitely weaker.  But tonight the Isles are in town and if both Scheifele and Connor remain out we get a big value boost for the Jets top line.  Overall, Morrissey is the favorite play, he should continue to see a boost in offensive usage.

 

POSITIONAL RANKINGS

CENTERS

  1. Connor McDavid
  2. Roope Hintz
  3. Nathan MacKinnon
  4. Dylan Strome
  5. Dominic Toninato – Value

WINGS

Way more value at wings tonight than anywhere else.

  1. Zach Hyman
  2. Joe Pavelski
  3. Kevin Fiala
  4. TJ Oshie – Value
  5. Rem Pitlick – Value
  6. William Eklund – Value

DEFENSE

  1. Josh Morrissey … Averaging 3.7 SOG/gm over the last two weeks and the Isles are 31st in the league in SOG allowed.  He hasn’t had a game without 3 SOG since January 2nd.  Expect good volume here again tonight.
  2. Thomas Chabot
  3. John Carlson
  4. Thomas Harley
  5. Alex Vlasic – Value

 

  1. MacKenzie Blackwood – Sharks
  2. Connor Ingram – Coyotes … Should see a good amount of SOG volume, not sure he can stop enough of them.  But hey, volume is the name of the game with goalies.
  3. Jake Oettinger – Stars
  4. Chris Diedger – Kraken

 

LINE LOCK(S) OF THE NIGHT:

Not a great night for picking a line lock, going with getting EDM1 exposure for sure.

  • McDavid – Hyman – Nugent-Hopkins (Oilers)

FAVORITE ONE OFF STUD FORWARDS:

  • None, but Josh Morrissey from DEF as a pay up.

FAVORITE ONE OFF VALUE:

  • Caps/Jets top lines

BETS:

  • Colorado ML -130
  • Dallas ML -135
  • San Jose ML +110
  • Toronto/Edmonton over 6.5

PROPS:

  • Josh Morrissey over 2.5 SOG
  • Claude Giroux under 2.5 SOG
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins over 2.5 SOG

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