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MLB · July 26, 2023

The Dongers Club – July 26th (Early)

Quite the breakdown we have today, and so many different start times that FanDuel broke out the ole Express slates at 1PM.  Here’s the rundown on what we’ll be covering from a content perspective.

Early (Noon):  Rockies/Nationals, Marlins/Rays, Mariners/Twins, Royals/Guardians, Reds/Brewers

Main (7PM): Mets/Yankees, Braves/Red Sox, Cubs/White Sox, Rangers/Astros, Athletics/Giants

 

WEATHER

All clear

 

MY NUMBER ONE

All aboard the Joe Ryan Express - Twinkie TownJOE RYAN (DK:  $10,700,   FD: $10,000)

Is Joelan Ryan back?  He has been really good at home his last two outings in Target Field and the Mariners being the worst K% team in the league, especially vs RHP of late makes this an impossible fade on a short 5 game slate.

Truthfully, there is no such thing as an impossible fade in MLB DFS and the way I am going with Seattle right now, you should probably just do opposite what my gut says.  The fear of a Suarez or Hernandez homer lingers, but I doubt they’re more than solo shots — which you can definitely live with when the pitcher is likely posting a 10 spot on strikeouts.

 

SECONDARY OPTIONS

JAKE IRVIN (DK:  $5,300, FD: $7,000)

You give me someone throwing 100+ pitches against the Rockies for 5300 and I am in and when Irvin is pitching well he usually will put up a very good score, so we’re looking at a goose egg or a slate winner, and that’s worth taking a bite on with limited choices.  His worst pitch at times has been his breaking ball which Colorado ranks 28th among all teams.  The Nats pen has been horrendous and could use some length here today too.

 

OTHER NOTES

The alternative pivot on Irvin is going to be a chalky Gavin Williams against the lowly Royals — they have seen him and they should hit him in a warm Cleveland game which I project to go over by a mile.

 

FAVORITE CORES …

GUARDIANS & ROYALS

Game stack building on a short 5 game slate, let’s ride with the … Royals and Guardians???  Yes!  Cleveland is the easy sell job I am sure for you, Marsh is not going to strike out more than 2-3 of them and I would really like to get the correct Naylor here today, so Josh please go back to back with Jose Ramirez — thank you.

  • CLE:  Rosario, Ramirez, Naylor

KC has two cheap lefties with power to hit one out, Massey and Pratto.  Melendez is just so ice cold it’s hard to push him heavily but sure if you have too.

  • Massey, Witt, Pratto

 

Next Best Offense Spots

  1. Brewers
  2. Reds
  3. Nationals
  4. Twins

 

CATCHER

  1. Keibert Ruiz
  2. William Contreras

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Josh Naylor
  2. Nick Pratto
  3. Joey Votto

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Michael Massey
  2. Luis Arraez

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Jose Ramirez
  2. Eugenio Suarez

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. CJ Abrams … Still under 4k and leading off still against a RHP and bad pen
  2. Bobby Witt Jr.
  3. Amed Rosario

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Christian Yelich
  2. Randy Arozarena
  3. Jake Fraley
  4. Luke Raley

 

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Nolan Jones
  2. Kyle Isbel
  3. MJ Melendez
  4. Will Brennann

 

  1. Luke Raley – OF – Rays – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Jose Ramirez – 3B – Guardians
  3. Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers
  4. Keibert Ruiz – C – Nationals
  5. Michael Massey – 2B – Royals

 

TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS

Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…

  • KC/Cleveland
  • CIN/Milwaukee

 

Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.

  • COL/Washington
  • SEA/Minnesota

 

ML Targets

  • Nationals
  • Rays
  • Guardians
  • Twins
  • Brewers

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