The Dongers Club, May 23rd

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

Only 10 games on the Tuesday night slate as we continue to have a heavy 6pm Window of games which the DFS sites refuse to allow us to include those gems. On that Turbo slate I like Cardinals, Phillies and Reds.  The over in STL/CIN, the under in TEX/PIT and I just wouldn’t touch TOR/TB if you can avoid it. White Sox/Guardians is thankfully not on any Classic slate. WEATHER All clear, ball should travel well in Kauffman Stadium again.  No, this doesn’t mean Brady Singer is pitching you ***-holes…  Let’s just not discuss it anymore, okay.   TOP ARM Yu Darvish (DK: 10.5k, FD: 10.4k) Can good trash beat good trash?  Because that’s where I see Darvish thriving tonight simply by throwing everything but the kitchen sink at the Nationals with his 38.2% CSW rate on Sinkers, 36.5% on Sliders and the occasional splitter which opponents are only hitting .122 off this season. Statistically we have a  Nationals team which manages to not strike out a ton, but the Darvish type pitcher should just go right through them without getting his PC up too high and that’s key with Darvish at 10k+ on a night with Cole/Strider out there too.   SP2 OPTIONS Brayan Bello (DK: $6300) BB has looked better in 2023 and lets clear something up on his prior GS vs Anaheim.  It was on Patriots day, so an 11 am start and he started the 1st inning with strikeout, single, HBP, HR, BB, single, Sac Fly, single, strikeout.  The 2nd inning started with a Neto single and then Ohtani single and in the third he gave up two more singles before striking out 2 and being pulled. The issue at no point in 2023 for Bello has been hard contact, the issue was that first start in an 11 game versus an Angels lineup that was better then than they are now.  Trout remains cold (he missed that game) and Renfroe has cooled off as well from a power perspective.  Bello’s confidence should be much higher here and Anaheim has struck out 24% over the last week, he’s gonna get the K’s and we just need him to not go wild with walks. Also Dont Mind:  Alex Cobb, Kyle Bradish   OTHER PITCHING NOTES The Dodgers are letting Bobby Miller make his MLB debut in Atlanta and this is one Dodger prospect who I do think deserves…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in