SLATE NOTES
Just a five game MAIN slate on a Friday night and it’s because of how Opening Day schedules roll now, so we’ll let it slide.
- Padres at Braves
- Cardinals at Brewers
- Nationals at Rockies
- Blue Jays at Angels
- Dodgers at Diamondbacks
- Athletics at Rays (FanDuel Only)
WEATHER
SD/ATL: Storms/rain coming in here as the evening moves along. I believe they’ll start the game and try to get it in, but a quick reminder on how I approach weather games (I feel like I’ve said this 2 million times now).
If you are the type who will get upset that a rain issue hurts your lineup then use this model. If the game starts, you can play it. If it starts in a delay, you fade it. It’s that simple. Games rarely start and then get PPD.
LAD/ARI: Roof Open
Nobody.
I honestly like, nobody. If you are on FanDuel, Zach Eflin is your guy there. On DraftKings, I think they’re all gonna get hit a little bit. So lets pick on the worse offense on the slate, shall we?
MacKenzie Gore
Gimme arm talent vs a mediocre lineup even in Coors Field. Gore can give you enough production tonight with a 5 2/3 inning, 6 strikeout performance. I wouldn’t count on him holding on to the win today but the upside is certainly there. And yes, if you wanna be wild like me and gamestack with Jose Urena, I approve.
Clayton Kershaw
If there were multiple other top end pitchers I trusted then Kershaw would not be listed here. But the veteran will find a way to get through the D’Backs lineup twice and finish with a respectable score.
All of them except Coors? It kinda looks that way to me except this is a heavy one off type slate with lots of individual players I like.
I would avoid the Padres/Braves game for starters not just because of weather but I actually do like Martinez/Shuster to be efficient and would push Martinez if I knew weather would not be a risk on him.
Cards vs Brewers
Arenado, Goldy, O’Neill, Contreras … Winker, Tellez, Adames
Arenado and Goldy are about to enter into the 2023 chat room as they go into one of their favorite road parks while Jesse Winker gets to have a big fat ass smile on his face going up against the Cards and Mr. Walk the entire team Jack Flaherty. I see lots of base runners and long(er) innings in this game making it viable for a game stack.
Jays vs Angels
Vlad Guerrero is locked in to start the season, I think he has just 1 whiff total thus far and this is a ton of RHH for Sandoval to deal with while Bassitt needs to show it before I trust him to be clean.
Nice weather for HR upside in Anaheim, so go all in on this game if you touch it.
CATCHER
We have the first of what should be many Contreras series. Advantage the road brother
- Willson Contreras
- Logan O’Hoppe
- Will Smith … At $5500 you are probably better off taking his HR +390 or over 1.5 Hits (+180)
FIRST BASE
- Paul Goldschmidt
- Rowdy Tellez
- Christian Walker
SECOND BASE
Some nice cheap options here
- Brice Turang … Can also be used at SS on DK, which is somewhat a quiet position today outside of Bichette and his teammate Adames there
- Brendan Donovan
- Miguel Vargas
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
SHORTSTOP
- Bo Bichette
- Willy Adames
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Jesse Winker
- Tyler O’Neill
- Joey Meneses
- JD Martinez
OUTFIELD – Value
- Jordan Walker / Alec Burleson … Prefer Walker
- Kyle Lewis
- Nolan Arenado – 3B – Cardinals – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Jesse Winker – OF – Brewers
- Tyler O’Neill – OF – Cardinals
- Will Smith – C – Dodgers
- Bo Bichette – SS – Blue Jays
FAVORITE BET(s)
- Nationals ML (+110)
- Cardinals/Brewers over 8
Dogs … PARLAY(s) OF THE DAY
- Nats + D’Backs + Jays + Cards
TOP PROP(s) OF THE DAY
Pitchers
- Brandon Woodruff under 7.5
- Jose Urena over 2.5
- MacKenzie Gore over 4.5
Batters
- Nolan Arenado anytime HR +475
- Will Smith over 1.5 hits (+180)