MLB · April 30, 2023

Sunday Dongers Club – April 30th

WEATHER

A lot of games with RAIN risk today, including:

  • Guardians / Red Sox – Ugly
  • Pirates / Nationals – Rain that eventually leaves, so there is a good chance they wait and play this one.
  • Braves / Mets – PPD
  • Orioles / Tigers – This one should play
  • Rays / White Sox – I think they can play
  • Royals / Twins – Should play

 

Drew Rasmussen

Chicago is hitting .180 with a 26% SO rate over the last 10 days, I cannot imagine being a schmuck and actually using them in that time window.  Plus, Robert Jr is not pulling his diva card and likely benched today.  Only issue with Ras is the weather.

Johan Oviedo

Outside of a start early in Fenway this season when I think Fenway had some 2018 baseballs in play, Oviedo has not given up any homers or any hard contact.  Assuming they just delay and play later this is one of my favorite SP spots today as his slider which averages 40% CSW should get a ton of whiffs from the Nats lineup.

Kyle Bradish

Bradish generally will have problems with too many walks early in his young career, so I prefer to back him against a team that isn’t very disciplined or veteran filled in their lineup.  Exhibit A – The Detroit Tigers!  I doubt there is any delay in this game and like picking on offenses off a double header as well.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

Mike Brosseau, Willy Adames, William Contreras

We have three dome games today that are likely all closed, and Milwaukee on Sunday’s is always a hitter friendly spot it seems.  Jose Suarez remains in the rotation, and he is so bad that reporters literally had to ask direct “Why is he still in the rotation this week, whats the rationale?” to manager Phil Nevin.  Not good Bob, not good.  Milwaukee has seen lots of LHP this week, so Mike Brosseau is likely due for another 2-3, HR, 2B and then get pulled game today.

Toronto Blue Jays

Bo or Vlad, Whit Merrifield, George Springer

What the hell was that 1-0 game yesterday with Chris Flexen on the mound?  I guess Toronto just decided to prove to the Leafs that you CAN win a 1 score tight game, and it worked!  Back to the Skydome today, like both sides a good amount, but Toronto is just too good vs LHP this season to ignore them.

 

Other good spots

  • Mariners
  • Yankees
  • Pirates … Pending weather
  • Guardians … Pending weather

 

 

CATCHER

  1. William Contreras
  2. Alejandro Kirk / Danny Jansen … Both hitting OK lately and both cheap enough for Toronto
  3. Salvador Perez

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Ty France
  2. Vinnie Pasquantino
  3. Josh Bell – Rain concerns big here, but love him vs Sale.

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Whit Merrifield
  2. Brandon Drury
  3. Gleyber Torres

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Mike Brosseaux
  2. Eugenio Suarez
  3. Matt Chapman

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Bo Bichette
  2. Willy Adames

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. George Springer
  2. Bryan Reynolds
  3. Teoscar Hernandez
  4. Austin Hays

 

OUTFIELD – Tier 2

  1. Trevor Larnach
  2. Taylor Ward
  3. Jarred Kelenic

 

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Ed Olivares
  2. Joey Wiemer
  3. Jose Siri

 

  1. Mike Brosseau – 3B – Brewers – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Bo Bichette – SS – Blue Jays
  3. Whit Merrifield – 2B – Blue Jays
  4. Teoscar Hernandez – OF – Mariners
  5. Vinnie Pasquantino – 1B – Royals
  6. Bryan Reynolds – OF – Pirates
  7. Taylor Ward – OF – Angels
  8. William Contreras – C – Brewers
  9. BONUS ……….. Eugenio Suarez – 3B – Mariners

FAVORITE BET(s)

  • Brewers -120

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