WEATHER
DET @ BAL – If they wait they can get the game in eventually and this is possibly our first true test of teams realizing they can get games in that start very late because of the faster pace of play. If they wait until 10pm to start they could still be done by midnight, so I think they play.
Chase Filed Roof = Open
Miller Park Roof = TBD
Day of week in Anaheim =
I think we can live in the mid range on pitching tonight. Framber Valdez will be good vs Atlanta, but at 10k he won’t be dominant to worry about fading. Wade Miley isn’t delivering a second straight ridiculous start and the Cardinals know Luis Castillo all way too well to trust him. Joe Musgrove makes his debut for the Padres tonight in Arizona vs Merrill Kelly in Chase Field with the roof open, big time fade.
KYLE GIBSON
I said we would live in the mid-range and the poster child for mid-range is Kyle Gibson. Take a risk tonight if they start in a delay with Gibson who once they do start will be able to get through the Tigers lineup with lots of ground balls and a low pitch count giving him depth.
ANDREW HEANEY
Oakland in Texas seems to always bring them a boost, but their 35% DCPA strikeout rate today projected vs Heaney is the boost that helps in DFS. Heaney has shown the ability to have huge K games — especially at home.
GARRETT WHITLOCK
A few sleeper options today for me are Whitlock, Mikolas and even Fujinami. Out of these options it’s Whitlock who I would roll the dice with
This is mostly a one off or 2-2-2 type slate. A lot of pitchers going will get ‘hit’ enough to not trust them to dominate, but there isn’t that full 5 man stack that’s gonna go nuts today, so spread it out among these spots.
ANGELS
Mike Trout, Taylor Ward, Gio Urshela
Trout will be back in the lineup tonight and Greinke does not pitch well anymore on the road. He should go no more than 5 at best and the Royals pen will give up a few runs as well tonight.
ROYALS
Bobby Witt Jr, Salvador Perez, Edward Olivares, Matt Duffy
Much easier time tonight vs Tyler Anderson than Shohei last night. No kidding, right? Good weather in Anaheim, Royals will put up some offense today.
PADRES/D’BACKS
Fernando Tatis, Christian Walker
Both guys have been touted a good amount by me lately, well, Tatis just since he got back this week and Walker all week. Both get those HR tonight.
Great contrarian (leverage) stack: Cardinals
CATCHER
- Salvador Perez
- Willson Contreras
- Austin Nola
FIRST BASE
- Shohei Ohtani
- Ty France
- Paul Goldschmidt
SECOND BASE
Look, if it’s Matt Duffy day then it’s Matt Duffy day. ‘dem be the rules my friends.
- Matt Duffy
- Marcus Semien
- Kolten Wong
THIRD BASE
- Josh Jung
- Alex Bregman
- Rafael Devers
SHORTSTOP
- Bobby Witt Jr
- Gio Urshela
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
Elite tier today, and a good reason to not bother overspending on pitching.
- Mike Trout
- Fernando Tatis Jr
- Yordan Alvarez
- Christian Yelich
OUTFIELD – Value
- Edward Olivares
- Kevin Pillar
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr
- Alec Burleson
- Mike Trout – OF – Angels – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Willson Contreras – C – Cardinals
- Bobby Witt Jr – SS – Royals
- Matt Duffy – 2B – Royals
- Christian Walker – 1B – Diamondbacks
FAVORITE BET(s)
- Royals/Angels over 9.5
- Cardinals/Mariners over 7.5
- Tigers/Orioles under 8
- Boston ML
TOP PROP(s) OF THE DAY
- Luis Castillo under 6.5 strikeouts
- Mike Trout over 0.5 total bases