NHL · February 14, 2023

The Slapshot – Feb 14th

Nice to be back into a regular rotation on these NHL slates and we are getting close to the prime NHL DFS donkey season when all the NBA money goes away and the prize pools get bigger next week.  So right now is a key time to get locked in on hockey.

We do need to keep an eye out for NHL trades though as players will be late scratches in some spots or just be sitting out all together while the NHL trade deadline approaches.

Teams on B2B tonight

  • Ottawa (at NYI)
  • Florida (at STL)

It’s going to appear as if I am writing up some ‘bad’ teams tonight.  Well, I am.  But that’s more from a stack perspective and there’s plenty of big name one offs that you can pair with these cheaper line stacks.

CANADIENS

Suzuki, Anderson, Harvey-Pinard, Matheson

Cheap and dirty.  That describes this Montreal stack as best as I can think.  The Blackhawks certainly give up their fair share of SOG against and have a generous PK unit as well which could help this poor PP unit correlation.

Harvey-Pinard, aka Lee Harvey Oswald, and Anderson are very cheap and have high Goal upside tonight – so sorry in advance for whomever the Sens put in goal

ISLANDERS

Horvat, Bailey, Barzal

I talked about how some trades give a spark to a team and others send them into a funk.  In the case of the Islanders there’s no denying that Horvat has given them a spark but then when you weren’t scoring at all before hand it’s hard to go into a funk.

The Senators have been EXTREMELY generous to opposing centers over the last few weeks and Horvat’s been shooting it enough that he should be able to produce at his 7600 salary and setup his linemates as well.

PANTHERS vs BLUES

FLA – Bennett, Tkachuk

STL – Thomas, Schenn, Kyrou, Krug

I would advise to be cautious with just blindly going the Panthers.  Yeah, they look great on paper against the lowly Blues however on a B2B I suspect they get out worked by St. Louis on the road.  Look for Krug or Faulk to have big games for the Blues as well.

 

Other game notes

Carolina @ Washington

The Caps are struggling on home ice lately and their nemesis Sebastian Aho comes in to continue that trend.  But the Hurricanes correlation is yucky with Burns on PP2 and as usual Aho/Svechnikov being on different 5v5 lines.  I see this being a 4-2 game where Carolina scores an ENG late in a win and you could pluck some one offs here.  MoJo scores for Washington.

Pittsburgh @ San Jose ….

Penguins win and that’s hard for me to say as you know, but they win comfortably in my mind.  Much like Carolina though it’s gonna be spread out.

 

CENTERS

  1. Nathan MacKinnon
  2. Bo Horvat
  3. Sam Bennett
  4. Nick Suzuki
  5. Ryan O’Reilly
  6. Sebastian Aho-le
  7. Geno Malkin

WINGS

  1. Matthew Tkachuk … Most certainly has 2G upside tonight, which you kinda need that 3 point night for his $8400 price.  I would play MacKinnon over him if paying up for a UTIL one off, but can’t argue that Tkachuk is the top overall Winger today.
  2. Mathew Barzal
  3. Ondrej Palat
  4. Artturi Lehkonen … Good pairing with Nate Mac at only $5300
  5. Jordan Kyrou
  6. Andrei Svechnikov
  7. Johnny Gaudreau

DEFENSE

  1. Dougie Hamilton
  2. Josh Morrissey
  3. Brady Skjei
  4. Justin Faulk / Torey Krug
  5. Kris Letang

 

VALUE

  1. Rafael Harvey-Pinard
  2. Marcus Johansson
  3. Josh Bailey
  4. Nate Schmidt – D
  5. Alex Killorn

 

Connor Hellebuyck (Jets)

Casey DeSmith (Penguins)

 

Sleeper Pick

Linus Ullmark (Bruins)

 

LINE LOCK(S) OF THE NIGHT:

Horvat – Bailey – Barzal (Isles)

FAVORITE ONE OFF STUD FORWARDS:

Nathan MacKinnon (Avs)

FAVORITE ONE OFF VALUE:

Rafael Harvey-Pinard (Habs)

FAVORITE ONE OFF DEFENSEMAN:

Dougie Hamilton (Devils)

BETS:

Panthers/Blues o6.5 goals

Jets + Avs + Pens ML Parlay

 

SOG PROPS

  • Artturi Lehkonen o2.5 (+120) & Valeri Nichushkin o2.5 (-160)
  • Patrick Kane o2.5 (-175) … Not as easy of a slam dunk as you think but hard to not buy him at that low prop
  • Josh Anderson o2.5 (-110)
  • Ondrej Palat o1.5 (-160)
  • Bo Horvat o2.5 (-160)
  • Josh Morrissey o2.5 (+105)
  • Evgenii Malkin o2.5 (-130)

 

Unders

  • Pierre-Luc Dubois u2.5
  • Patrice Bergeron u3.5

 

 

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