NBA · November 9, 2022

NBA DFS DROPPIN DIMES-Wednesday, November 9th

A solid 12-game slate tonight- this excludes the on game at 5:30 between the Magic and Mavericks.

The NBA is keeping the larger slates on Monday, Wednesday and Friday during the week with few games on Tuesdays and Thursdays.  A fair number of players have already been ruled out while still waiting on a few more that are questionable.

NBA Dashboard is also another good source to help build lineups.

Looking at a 12 -game slate starting at 7:00pm

The “Droppin Dimes,” article will go over my favorite plays for the slate. It will consist of three to five core plays along with some additional plays and some value plays. You will not always see the highest-priced players or the most obvious plays. The article will be the building blocks to help construct lineup/s.

NBA Dashboard is also another good source to help build lineups. Check it out here – DailyAmbush: NBA Dashboard

The Dashboard will provide projections, player ratings along with matchup and other statistics for both Ambush and me (under FB Model). The dashboard feeds the optimizer allowing users to create lineups using (Avg FPs, Ratings, FB Projections, FB Ratings, projected ownership and GPP score). This is a good tool to utilize, and it gives the user a lot of ways to mix it up.

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(Note: All pricing and fantasy points are based on DraftKings but can be used for all sites.)

Always keep an eye on the status of players before lock, especially now. There are still a decent number of players with questionable tags.
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**FPs= Fantasy Points, FPPM= Fantasy Points Per Minutes, STOCKS (Steals plus blocks).
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NOTES

Notable players listed as OUT

  • Pascal Siakam
  • Kyrie Irving
  • LaMello Ball, Gordon Hayward
  • Jrue Holiday -Doubtful (assuming he sits out)
  • Kawhi Leonard
  • Khris Middleton
  • Cameron Johnson
  • Mitchell Robinson

Player listed as QUESTIONABLE (If/Then)

  • Trae Young- Dejounte Murray is a core play if Young sits.
  • Chris Paul- Look at Cameron Payne. Devin Booker
  • Steven Adams- Look at Brandon Clarke and Santi Aldama
  • Larry Nance- Naji Marshall
  • Lonnie Walker- Austin Reaves

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CORE

Darius Garland, Cleveland Cavaliers ($6900)

Garland has been playing extremely well since returning from injury. He is playing massive minutes pushing 38 plus in all three games since his return and exceeding 38 or more FPs (All exceeding value). One of those games was against the Celtics where he had 68.8 FPs in overtime. The Celtics rank in the top five defensively this year. The Cavs get an excellent matchup tonight against the faster paced Kings who also rank 24th defensively. This should be another good spot for Garland where he should push 40 plus FPs.

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Grayson Allen, Milwaukee Bucks ($4600) /Jevon Carter ($3900)

The Bucks are down all three of their star players tonight with Giannis, Holiday and Middleton all sitting out. Talking about the majority of the team’s usage here. Bobby Portis and Grayson Allen have the highest usage rates with the three off the court coming in at 35 and 31.5% respectively.  Allen has been averaging around 26 minutes and 20 FPs a game on the season, but with this usage bump and the matchup he should see 30 plus minutes and FPs tonight. Carter has been playing well as of late and should see a start tonight along with 30 plus minutes. A nice bump in pace for the Bucks tonight which is a plus and they get a decent matchup against the Thunder. Carter will be the chalk play of the two, but he should easily hit value at his salary. Allen should pick up less ownership and has 40 plus FPs upside tonight with the current situation. Both are viable options, and you can play both or choose one.

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Jordan Nwora, Milwaukee Bucks ($3600)

Nwora will get his chance to shine tonight with the Bucks being down their main three players. He is over a 25% usage player when on the court and likes to take a ton of shots. Tonight, he will be given the opportunity to play around 25-30 minutes and has the potential to push 10x. If he gets the start, then I would think his ownership would be high. I prefer him to come off the bench to keep his ownership down a bit. Either way, I can see him hit 25 plus FPs with potential for the mid 30s.

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Cameron Payne, Pheonix Suns ($4300)
The Suns will be down Chris Paul tonight and Payne should be in line to start the game. He saw a bump in minutes last game with Paul out playing 28 minutes and taking 14 shots. The kid likes to shoot, and this gives him the upside.  The 2nd highest usage rate with Paul off the court at 28%. An excellent matchup against the Timberwolves who rank in the bottom 10 against opposing PGs. I prefer Payne over Jevon Carter, but you could go stars and scrubs and play them both.
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**If Steven Adams sits out then Brandon Clarke can be added to core.

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Just missed the core….(Not included in table below)

  • Fred VanVleet
  • Ja Morant
  • Bobby Portis
  • Malik Monk
  • Obi Toppin
  • Miles Turner

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(V) Value Play

Additional Plays to Consider

PG SG SF PF C
Russell Westbrook

John Wall

Cade Cunningham

Devin Booker

Cam Thomas(V)

Buddy Hield

Gary Trent Jr.

Damion Lee (V)
Royce o’Neale

Julius Randle
Cam Reddish(V)Jason Tatum
Ivaca Zubac- plays well against his former team

Jusif Nurkic- C vs Hornets

Domantas Sabonis

Kevin Love(V)

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Dimes Play

Double Dimes Plays today!!

TJ McConnell- playing more minutes as of late. High upside with minutes.

**Options to help build lineups- Take these core plays and enter into optimizer with your favorite settings (rating, FBrating, FBprojections, FunkProjections, ownership or ratings). OR use this article to help you build a lineup with some of your favorite plays. The Dashboard is also a +great tool to help build lineups- It contains a good variety of stats and projections from multiple sources.

Good Luck!

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