My Core Plays

QB Joe Burrow (CIN)

No Quarterback has been hotter heading into the playoffs than Burrow who had Week 18 off. In his last two games played of the regular season, Burrow threw for 525 and 446 yards respectively with eight touchdowns (four in each game) and zero interceptions. The Raiders secondary has been susceptible all year long and Burrow has shown that he can shoulder leading his team in must-win games all the way back to his days at LSU.

RB Damien Harris (NE)

The recipe for the Patriots to succeed during this potential postseason run is to run the football and play sound defense with Mac Jones leading them in a game-manager role. Harris has at least one touchdown in each of his last five games played including three against the Bills the last time these two teams met on 18 carries. There’s always the worry that Rhamondre Stevenson ($5,100) might eat into Harris’ role, and I’ll have him in some lineups as well, but looking to Harris seems like the most logical answer to me he’s run for over 100 yards in both games against Buffalo this season.

WR Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)

Teammate Tee Higgins ($6,200) projects to be one of the higher owned wide receivers on the slate, due in part to the salary he brings relative to Chase who’s priced up at $7,800. While the ownership could be lighter on Chase the upside is immense paired up with his former college teammate. The Raiders don’t have an answer in their secondary for a player the caliber of Chase whose game-breaking ability makes him a potential slate-breaker on Saturday.

WR Zay Jones (LV)

The Raiders’ top option at receiver is clearly Hunter Renfrow. With Darren Waller banged up and the thought that Vegas will need to throw the ball in the second half, Jones should eclipse his value ($4,000) based on his production to close out the season. In his last four games, Jones saw no fewer than eight targets in any game and had at least five receptions in each contest. I like the value here despite the projected high ownership but a viable pivot as a longshot play is Bryan Edwards ($3,300) who saw five targets last week while playing 56 of the Raiders’ 75 snaps.

TE C.J. Uzomah (CIN)

Considering the limited options at the position, looking to Uzomah at tight end offers a solid floor with salary relief. The Raiders do not defend the tight end well allowing 18 or more DK points to the position on eight occasions this season. Uzomah has been available playing the majority of the snaps all season while being productive seeing six or more targets in four of his last five games played.

Slate Notes

Top stack

Cincinnati Bengals: QB Joe Burrow, WR Ja’Marr Chase, TE C.J. Uzomah

Top fade

RB Josh Jacobs (LV)

One-off play I have the most exposure to

RB Damien Harris (NE)

Player Props

Joe Mixon OVER rush attempts (19.5, -105) Josh Jacobs OVER receiving yards (20.5, -115) Joe Burrow OVER touchdown passes (1.5, -140) Gabe Davis OVER receiving yards (27.5, -115) Damien Harris TWO OR MORE TOUCHDOWNS (+650) C.J. Uzomah OVER receptions (3.5, +135) Zay Jones OVER receptions (4.5, +115) Tyler Boyd OVER receiving yards (41.5, -115) Daniel Carlson OVER field goals made (1.5, -105) Bryan Edwards OVER longest reception (14.5, -110) Mac Jones UNDER passing yards (207.5, -115) Mac Jones UNDER pass attempts (30.5, -115) Mac Jones UNDER pass completions (18.5, -115) GOOD LUCK!!