The Dongers Club – Thu, April 8th

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Another weekday early Main slate.  Soon we’ll be into a normal season.  This is a very quiet Thursday slate but it does feature Matt Harvey in Camden Yards and Coors Field one more time.   WEATHER There is some rain in Minnesota for the Twins home opener but a long enough window where it’s not that bad to allow them to get the game in without any issues. There is also some rain in Chicago for the White Sox home opener and this one looks a little more risky but likely plays.   It is worth monitoring however.   It’s a pitching slate to get creative with your pitchers on DraftKings.  FanDuel I would just take the top guy as there is good value in OF today. JOSE BERRIOS – $9,800 The reason to play Berrios isn’t because I want to double down on his dominant first start.  Yes, the match-up vs Seattle looks solid for him and yes he has talent to potentially break the slate — but that’s not an automatic thing to happen.  The reason to play Berrios is because SP2 alone is going to be hard to identify, picking two guys not named Berrios and expecting them both to top him is just stretching it too far. The next likely choices for everyone will be Corbin Burnes, Lance Lynn and Jake Arrieta.   I don’t need to tell you that Arrieta even though vs Pittsburgh is the easy chalky SP2 that we fade.   Burnes, like Berrios pitched a gem in his first start and is on the road vs a Cardinals team that has too many guys who I expect to hit him today.  So it comes down to Lynn vs the Royals and everyone will be chasing him expecting the Royals to strike-out a ton like they did vs Bieber.  I disagree. BRAD KELLER – $6,900 Think back to yesterday when Kyle Gibson came out and dominated Toronto.  We all took a beating on it but it reminded me of something early in the season with pitchers and that is we’re going to see a lot of guys who aren’t exactly new to pitching come out and bounce back after a rough first or second start.  Keller, like Gibson, is a big sinker baller who relies on that sinker working to get success and like Gibson he didn’t have it in the first outing.  Keller’s done well vs…...

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