NHL · March 4, 2021

The Slapshot – March 4th

I am having a lot of success right now with finding my value plays that I want to use first and then pairing them with the higher $ stud line or stud one offs.  There continue to be too many under priced teams out there on a nightly basis for me to try and hope to get a high upside game from the mid range plays.

With ten games tonight, it should be no different as there’s no shortage of options.

 

TOP STACKS TODAY

Tampa Bay Lightning

Brayden Point – Tyler Johnson/Steven Stamkos – Victor Hedman

Chicago is giving up 7.1 FPPG to RW versus only 2.1 to LW on the season, so they’re basically rolling a left wing lock from a fantasy perspective.  Stamkos is listed currently as being on the Tampa second line away from Point which isn’t ideal for correlation purposes, but I can see a Tampa 5 goal outing tonight which would make it more likely that a crossing the streams stack can work out here.

Carolina Hurricanes

Sebastian Aho – Andrei Svechnikov – Dougie Hamilton

Strong power play (Just around 30%) against the worst PK out there (Detroit).  Keep an eye out for what the Hurricanes do with pairings on the top line with Aho and certainly Trocheck is a nice one off as well who will see PP time too.

 

Other stacks

  • NY Rangers:   Mika Zibanejad – Alexis Lafreniere – Pavel Buchnevic
    • The Rangers top line has really started to plaly consistently over their last four and against much stiffer opponents than the Devils whom they draw tonight.
  • Philadelphia Flyers:   Kevin Hayes – Claude Girioux – Travis Konecny
  • Winnipeg Jets:   Pierre Luc-Dubois – Kyle Connor – Nikolaj Ehlers

 

ONE OFFS

This is an insanely deep center position and there is seemingly a center (or three) that I like in every game tonight.  Go 3C on lineups today if possible.

Center

Sebastian Aho

Mika Zibanejad

Aleksander Barkov & Matt Duchene … Facing each other in a game where both teams struggle vs C & D

 

Wings

Steven Stamkos

Mitchell Marner

Tyler Johnson – $3300 insane value if with Point on top line.

Claude Giroux

Anders Lee – Buffalo allowing 1.25 GPG to LW

Kyle Connor – Has given Montreal fits all year long.

 

Defense

Roman Josi – and or any other Preds D man vs Florida

Dougie Hamilton

Victor Hedman

T.J. Brodie

 

Overall top value on my model:  Jordan Staal, Alex Killorn, Dennis Guriav, Sam Bennett, Tyler Johnson

 

GOALIES

Anton Khudobin (Dallas)

James Reimer (Carolina) … Should be a chalky goalie option for the ‘Canes at home vs Detroit.  Not the best save upside chances though.

Carter Hutton (Sabres) … If you want to live cheaply on goalies tonight

 

SLAP … SHOTS

LINE LOCK OF THE NIGHT Brayden Point – Tyler Johnson (Stammer if lines change) – Ondrej Palat
ONE OFF STUD Mitchell Marner
CONTRARIAN TEAM Nashville Predators
TOP VALUE Tyler Johnson
TOP DEFENSEMAN Roman Josi
FAVORITE BETS Panthers/Preds O6, Lightning/Blackhawks O6, Jets/Habs O6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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